Trade Wins – Buying High and Selling Low

Ryan McKee turns the notion of buying low and selling high on its head and suggests how you can find value by acquiring players seemingly at their peak or selling ...

| 3 years ago

Ryan McKee turns the notion of buying low and selling high on its head and suggests how you can find value by acquiring players seemingly at their peak or selling at their lowest value.

Trade Wins – Buying High and Selling Low


jsider10s-1-webAs fantasy football players, we’re well versed in buying low and selling high. Countless articles, podcasts and television segments focus on who you should target and who you should be trying to part with. There’s nothing inherently wrong or inaccurate about those analyses. Winning your league will ultimately depend on your ability to acquire or ship out the right players at the right time of the season.

Analysts typically identify those buy lows and sell highs based on these factors:

  • High/low usage stats – for example, goal line carries, receiver targets, snaps, etc.
  • Strong/weak efficiency stats – yards per attempt, run after catch, etc.
  • Injury effect – either to the player himself or as a trickle-down effect onto his teammates
  • Strength of schedule – players with particularly easy or difficult matchups in the weeks ahead
  • Regression/progression to mean – players playing unusually well or poor compared to their historical performance

There may be some other factors but those are the main ones.

But here’s the problem: everyone in your league is consuming this content as you are. Whoever you’ve identified as a buy low is the same player that your league mates have zeroed in on as well. If you don’t believe me, try to make a low-ball offer for CJ Spiller or try selling Eddie Royal for AJ Green, who are currently sitting with the same number of fantasy points.

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