Top performers by opportunity

George Fitopoulos takes a look at the top performers in Opportunity Index through Week 14 of the 2015 NFL season.

| 2 years ago
(AP Photo/Bob Leverone)

(AP Photo/Bob Leverone)

Top performers by opportunity

Last week I looked at the best and worst red zone/goal line teams in the league and which players were getting the biggest share of opportunities. Well, since then a major opportunity has opened up for everyone’s favorite touchdown vulture Mike Tolbert.

The undefeated Panthers are obviously on a great streak and one of the league’s best red zone/goal line offenses. Until last week, Jonathan Stewart was seeing 38 percent of the team share (quarterback excluded) and Tolbert was second at 17 percent. With Stewart out, Tolbert should absorb the majority of those opportunities as the team clearly loves to use him near the end zone.

If you’re in a tough spot in your fantasy playoffs you could do a lot worse than chase touchdowns with Tolbert as the Panthers should give him plenty of opportunity to score.

Let’s see how Week 14 changed the landscape in the world of opportunity in fantasy football.

Opportunity Index (OI) is a metric that measures the quality of a player’s opportunity (QB completions plus rushes, RB/WR/TE pass targets plus rushes) versus the quantity of opportunity. Each opportunity is weighted by likelihood to score fantasy points and then adjusted to the position average to get one, clean number where 0 percent is league average and anything greater is above league average and vice versa. The “+/-” category shows the movement in OI from the prior week and “FPTS-xFPTS” calculates how much above or below the expected level a player has scored fantasy points this season. As a reminder, all calculations are based off a half-point per reception scoring system.

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George Fitopoulos is a writer for PFF Fantasy and can be reached on Twitter @PigskinProf.

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