PFF Preview: Packers @ Dolphins, Week 6

Riding a two-game win streak, the Packers fly to Miami to take on the Dolphins. Joe Velardo provides numbers on three important players for each team.

| 2 years ago
2014-Prev-WK06-GB@MIA

PFF Preview: Packers @ Dolphins, Week 6


2014-Prev-WK06-GB@MIAThe Green Bay Packers, led by the red-hot duo of Aaron Rodgers and Jordy Nelson, will head into Miami for Week 6 and take on a strong Dolphins defense.

Rodgers is currently leading all QBs with at least 150 drop-backs in PFF QB Rating with a 102.3 mark and is also Top 10 in both Accuracy Percentage and Passing Under Pressure. Nelson is fifth among WRs with at least 30 targets in WR Rating and boasts a 3.24 Yards per Route Run which is good enough for the No. 1 spot.

Cameron Wake has not only the highest pass rush grade among 4-3 DEs with a +14.6, but it is second among all defensive players in the league behind only Bucs’ DT Gerald McCoy. OLB Jelani Jenkins is having a breakout year: No. 2 among 4-3 OLBs in Run Stop Percentage with 16 stops and is No. 2 in coverage, and has only missed a single tackle on the year.

Here are three more notable numbers for each side:

Green Bay Packers

Corey Linsley – The rookie came into the season as a question mark, but has come on strong after posting the highest overall and run blocking grade (+4.9) among centers in Week 5.

Julius Peppers – Peppers is seventh overall in Pass Rush Productivity among 3-4 OLBs and is tied with Clay Matthews for the Packers’ lead in pressures.

Josh Sitton – Sitton is the No. 1 guard in the league and is also the only guard with a pass block and run block grade above +5.0.

Miami Dolphins

Branden Albert – Comes in tied for second in Pass Blocking Efficiency among tackles with 160 passing snpas, allowing only one sack and posting a +9.6 overall grade.

Jared Odrick – Odrick sits at seventh in Pass Rush Productivity among DTs with at least 100 snaps and also has a +3.6 grade against the run.

Michael Thomas – The DB has made his presence felt on kickoff and punt coverage with seven tackles on the year and zero missed tackles factoring into his +4.0 mark.

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  • BartDePalma

    The primary mismatch in this game is the MIA rush O (+2.3 PFF/#5 YPG) and the GB run D (-20.3 PFF/#32 YPG).

    If MIA runs the ball 55% and then attacks the GB LBs with quick slants and screens, they win this game.

    GB lost to the last two teams with a D with the same level of talent as the MIA D.

    • Brian Dugan

      So running the ball and quick slants wins the game for Miami, eh? No worries for Miami about stopping Aaron Rodgers or Ryan Tannehill having to make plays with his arm? Other than your massive oversimplification of what a NFL gameplan is like, putting team stats up comparatively just five games into the season is pretty idiotic. Also, I’m not so sure Miami’s defense is as good as Seattle’s or Detroit’s.

      I’m not saying Miami can’t win the game, they definitely can… but it’s going to have to be more than a product of them running the ball a lot and hitting some quick slants.

      • DrAWNiloc

        “…it’s going to have to be more than a product of them running the ball a lot and hitting some quick slants.”

        Agreed. As you suggest, they’ll need to slow Aaron Rodgers down with the 3rd best pass rush and 4th best coverage while hoping that Lacy doesn’t run wild against the game’s 8th best run defense. None of this which would be remotely surprising even if the game weren’t in Miami.

        Nice article, Joe.

      • DrAWNiloc

        “…it’s going to have to be more than a product of them running the ball a lot and hitting some quick slants.”

        Agreed.
        As you suggest, they’ll need to slow Aaron Rodgers down with the 3rd
        best pass rush and 4th best coverage while hoping that Lacy doesn’t run
        wild against the game’s 8th best run defense. None of this would
        be remotely surprising even if the game weren’t in Miami.

        Nice article, Joe.

        • Brian Dugan

          Right, because these team rankings are relevant 4-5 games into the season.

          • DrAWNiloc

            Others are free to use tea leaves.

          • Brian Dugan

            How’d all those rankings work out for you. 2-3 good?

          • DrAWNiloc

            Rather well, actually, as long as they continued with “running the ball a lot and hitting some quick slants.” Sadly, Miami choose to pass downfield more than run, resulting in 2 interceptions and Aaron Rodgers having enough time to win the game on its final play. Substitute just one more inbounds run for those incompletions and the Dolphins win.

            At the very least, it was not the convincing win one might expect from such a unanimous consensus.

          • Brian Dugan

            Pretty sad rationalization homie. I didn’t know wins had to be “convincing.” Considering it was an away game, in which we were down 4 DEFENSIVE STARTERS, including both of our starting CBs, I’m quite pleased. The Dolphins weren’t even in the game until Sam Shields and Tramon Williams got hurt on consecutive plays… consecutive plays.

            The fact of the matter is, the Dolphins are 2-3 after a home loss after your bye week, yup you had 2 weeks to prepare for that poop sandwich of a game plan. You also have Ryan Tannehill at QB and Joe Philbin as head coach. Good luck with that. When your QB can’t “throw downfield” and your coach can’t, well uh coach… Too bad you can’t just “substitute” a play of your choice.

          • DrAWNiloc

            Where did you get the impression that I am a Miami fan?

      • BartDePalma

        I prefer a team that can run and stop the run against a team with a great QB and a questionable D. See the NYG vs. NE and SEA v. DEN in the last few Super Bowls. Tannehill does not have to have an outstanding game for MIA to win, Rogers does.

        • Brian Dugan

          Right… because the 2012 Super Bowl is relevant to this game. Because Ryan Tannehill is just as good as peak Eli Manning, and this Dolphins pass rush is just as good as that Giants pass rush. WHAT ARE YOU EVEN TALKING ABOUT?

          Also, it’s Rodgers*
          He’s won a Super Bowl, a Super Bowl MVP, and a league MVP.

          Again, don’t get me wrong, I think the Dolphins have a lot of talent. With this game being in Miami, I’m not overly confident of a Packers win. But the amount of confidence you have in your 2-2 team which is QBed by Ryan Tannehill is mind-blowing. Finally, Ryan Tannehill does have to have a very good game to win tomorrow. The Packers secondary is outstanding and as “questionable” as you find the Packers D, it’s pretty solidly ranked by DVOA.

        • Brian Dugan

          How’d that work out for you? Enjoy 2-3 and Ryan Tannehill homie.

          • BartDePalma

            Congrats on the comeback win.

            MIA lost because the Defensive Coordinator for some unknown reason put our worst cover LB on your TE on the final play.

      • mutzki

        this Dolphins D hasn’t seen an offense as potent as the Packers one, and haven’t seen a QB even remotely playing at the level that Rodgers is playing right now.

        If the Packers can run the ball, Miami loses. Miami takes away the run, it’s the Dolphins game to lose.