Salary Cap Fantasy Values: Week 16
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Weekly salary cap games are a great addition to the NFL season. For those of you who have never tried it, the rules are fairly simple. Every player is assigned a monetary amount based on personal statistics and national hype. The trick is to combine the best lineup of players to score the highest total of the entry pool. This game is legal in the U.S. because it is considered a game of skill.
During the season, you will not see very many quarterback values. The NFL is a quarterback-driven league where quarterbacks are the stars and the most consistent producers. Pick the elite quarterback with the matchup you like the best. For the purposes of “elite” I include Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, Matt Ryan, and newly, Robert Griffin III. It is important to note a couple names might be fluid and will provide some value in itself.
Defenses are easy to pick. Find the best defense playing a rookie or backup quarterback. You need turnovers and going against Joe Flacco or Jay Cutler might produce a couple points, but there is no need to leave points on the table. The same goes for kickers. Find a decent team against a tough matchup. Defenses and kickers are not the 2 spots you want to roll the dice on.
All that to say that, for now, the values are best found at running back and wide receiver. It is important to note that most salary cap games score receptions as 0.5 (1/2PPR). Here are some players that could be a great value for salary cap games to start the season:
This pick might just be the best value of the season. Despite running the ball 18 times for 105 yards against the Houston Texans, Ballard is just $6,650 on DraftDay and $5,800 on FanDuel.
On the season, Ballard has 2.66 yards after contact per attempt, good for 14th among running backs. He also has a 35.6 elusive rating, which measures the ability of a running back past the help of blockers. His rank for elusive rating is 20th. Not only does Ballard have some talent, he has no risk of losing touches. In the game versus Houston Ballard was on the field for 48 of 62 snaps (77%). Mewelde Moore had just 12 snaps in a game in which the Colts were losing.
This week the Colts play in Kansas City, who just gave up 199 yards rushing to Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson. On the season, the Chiefs have given up the seventh most fantasy points to opposing running backs. There is room to run on the Chiefs, and Ballard will be doing all that running. Hopefully Andrew Luck doesn’t vulture the goal-line carries.