Week 5 buy-low/sell-high options in the fantasy stock market
If you pay attention to the actual stock market, you’d know that the public perception of a stock is essentially what it’s worth. So when you are out to dinner and overhear someone at the table next to you talking about Bank XYZ stock, and you own shares, it’s wise that you try to convince them they’re wrong, because perception is reality in the actual stock market.
But any smart investor knows to buy the stock at its lowest possible price, knowing that what happens from that moment forward is likely to be pure profit. It’s tough to get your hands on inside information going on within these companies though, which is why people pay financial advisors in order to have that information supplied to them.
Fortunately for you, perception is not always reality in fantasy football, and I am the financial advisor with the big firm (PFF) who has access to all the information in order to find out if you should buy or sell. Let’s take a look at the stock you should buy and/or sell heading into Week 5.
Randall Cobb, WR, Green Bay Packers
This is a perfect sample of a player who has hit his absolute floor in fantasy football, and investors at this point should gain pure profit going forward. The perception on Cobb is that this is 2015 all over again, and that he is no longer on the fantasy football radar, at least for starting purposes. I’ve received tweets from followers asking whether they should drop him. Despite the public perception, Cobb’s play on the field has not been bad.
Through three weeks, Cobb has been graded as the No. 39 receiver of 111 who have played at least 25 percent of their team’s snaps. It’s important to remember that Cobb was never the type of receiver to give you regular 100-yard games, as he had done it just 11 times over the first 68 games of his career. What we should expect is touchdowns, as Cobb had scored 30 of them in his previous 53 games coming into 2016. Aaron Rodgers got some of his mojo back last week, and he hasn’t thrown fewer than 31 touchdowns in a full season since way back in 2010. Unless you think Jordy Nelson is going to catch 21 touchdowns, he’s in for some regression. Guess who will be on the positive end of that regression? Trade for Cobb while he is essentially free. (Oh, and he’s already gotten his bye week out of the way.)