Fantasy News & Analysis

Fantasy impact of the picks on the second day of the NFL draft

Nashville, TN, USA; Drew Lock (Missouri) takes the stage prior to the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft in Downtown Nashville. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Day 2 of the 2019 NFL draft is in the books, as we’re starting to get a good sense of how the rookie fantasy football value is shaking out in this year’s class. Unlike what we saw in Round 1, there’s was a lot of action at the skill positions. Here’s an initial fantasy take on all of the skill position player drafted with a 2019 projection when relevant.

Pick 36: Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers

Samuel was the first wideout selected on Day 2, but be careful to not overvalue this landing spot in the short-term. There are a lot of mouths to feed in the 49ers’ passing game, so targets may be tough to come by for Samuel.

2019 projection: 65 targets, 42 catches, 514 yards, 3 touchdowns

Pick 42: Drew Lock, QB, Denver Broncos

Lock has the ability to be a long-term starter in the NFL and lands in a good spot considering the Broncos young and talented cast of skill position players. That said, he isn’t likely to be a full-time starter until at least 2020.

Pick 50: Irv Smith Jr., TE, Minnesota Vikings

The Kyle Rudolph era appears to be coming to an end. Smith is clearly the No. 3 fantasy tight end in this year’s class, but this is a solid landing spot. That being said, it could take a few years before he’s a consistent fantasy option.

2019 projection: 32 targets, 23 catches, 243 yards, 2 touchdowns

Pick 51: A.J. Brown, WR, Tennessee Titans

Sometimes the NFL Draft can boost a player’s fantasy stock. This isn’t one of those times. Brown figures to slot in as the No. 2 option in one of the league’s least fantasy-friendly passing offenses.

2019 projection: 68 targets, 43 catches, 538 yards, 4 touchdowns

Pick 52: Drew Sample, TE, Cincinnati Bengals

Insert head scratch emoji here. At best, Sample is a catch-and-fall-down pass-catcher, which is not a good thing for fantasy purposes.

Pick 53: Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles

That sound just heard was Jordan Howard’s fantasy stock plummeting. Sanders is an elusive back with three-down ability. That said, he’s likely to be the lightning to Howard’s thunder in the short-term.

2019 projection: 166 carries, 679 yards, 6 touchdowns, 39 catches, 288 yards, 1 touchdown

Pick 56: Mecole Hardman, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

With Tyreek Hill’s future very much up in the air, the Chiefs went a bit aggressive and selected the very athletic Hardman. That said, he’s still very green, managing just 60 catches in his college career. There’s opportunity for Hardman, but he’s far from a sure thing.

2019 projection: 71 targets, 42 catches, 614 yards, 4 touchdowns, 16 carries, 102 yards

Pick 57: J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles grab a PFF favorite with this pick and potentially have Alshon Jeffery’s long-term replacement. The depth chart is a bit crowded, so don’t expect much out of Arcega-Whiteside in 2019. But getting paired with Carson Wentz is very favorable for Arcega-Whiteside’s dynasty outlook.

2019 projection: 32 targets, 21 catches, 258 yards, 2 touchdowns

Pick 59: Parris Campbell, WR, Indianapolis Colts

Andrew Luck and company add one of the fastest receivers in this year’s class. Targets won’t be easy to come by in the short-term for Campbell, but he has some late-round best ball appeal in 2019. In dynasty, Campbell is one of the more intriguing wideouts in this year’s class.

2019 projection: 63 targets, 42 catches, 572 yards, 4 touchdowns

Pick 62: Andy Isabella, WR, Arizona Cardinals

The other fastest receiver at the combine came off the board next. Isabella is often portrayed as a slot receiver, but his unique skillset and game breaking speed is very appealing in Kliff Kingsbury’s offense with Kyler Murray under center. He’ll be down in the pecking order in 2019, but his value will increase when Larry Fitzgerald retires.

2019 projection: 60 targets, 41 catches, 543 yards, 4 touchdowns

Pick 64: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks

Despite the surprise fall down the draft board, this is a strong landing spot for Metcalf. The recent reports about Doug Baldwin considering retirement open the door for Metcalf to be a 1 and 1A with Tyler Lockett. While the Seahawks are extremely run-heavy, Metcalf is still in a position to see one of the heaviest workloads of this year’s rookie wideouts.

2019 projection: 80 targets, 53 catches, 726 yards, 5 touchdowns

Pick 66: Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers have an obvious void to fill with Antonio Brown now in Oakland, but don’t expect Johnson to be the next big fantasy receiver in Pittsburgh. He’s a versatile receiver, but he lacks size (5-10, 183) and speed (4.53 40-yard dash time).

2019 projection: 18 targets, 12 catches, 141 yards, 1 touchdown

Pick 67: Jalen Hurd, WR, San Francisco 49ers

With size you can’t teach and positional versatility, Hurd gives the revamped 49ers wide receiver corps an intriguing weapon. Though still a bit of a project, he’s an interesting long-term fantasy prospect in this landing spot.

2019 projection: 15 targets, 9 catches, 118 yards, 1 touchdowns

Pick 68: Josh Oliver, TE, Jacksonville Jaguars

One of the more athletic tight ends in this year’s class, Oliver lands in a prime spot on the uber-thin Jags depth chart. It’s rare for rookie tight ends to make much a fantasy impact, but Oliver has the chance to surface as a streamer option.

2019 projection: 54 targets, 39 catches, 417 yards, 3 touchdowns

Pick 70: Darrell Henderson, RB, Los Angeles Rams

While the Rams selecting a running back on Day 2 isn’t necessarily an indictment of Todd Gurley’s fantasy stock, this pick does raise an eyebrow. Henderson is an undersized playmaker who stands to benefit from the Rams’ heavy usage of 11 personnel. He’s Gurley’s immediate handcuff with RB1 potential if Gurley went down.

Pick 73: David Montgomery, RB, Chicago Bears

Jordan Howard didn’t fit in Matt Nagy’s offense, but Montgomery does. This is one of the best landing spots of all the Day 2 picks. He figures to slot right in as the early-down option and has immediate RB2 potential.

2019 projection: 218 carries, 920 yards, 7 touchdowns, 24 catches, 178 yards, 1 touchdown

Pick 74: Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills

With LeSean McCoy and Frank Gore among the league’s elder statesmen at running back, the Bills addressed the position on Day 2. Singletary didn’t test well in the pre-draft process, but he does have some similarities with McCoy. He could end up as the long-term replacement in Buffalo.

Pick 75: Jace Sternberger, TE, Green Bay Packers

Like McCoy and Gore, Jimmy Graham is no spring chicken. Sternberger was one of the most productive tight ends in the nation last year and gives the Packers some long-term juice at the position. Just don’t expect much out of him in 2019.

Pick 76: Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Redskins

Washington snagged one of Dwayne Haskins’ receivers on Day 2. McLaurin is a speedy wideout who has an opportunity to play immediate on the Redskins’ thin depth chart.

2019 projection: 65 targets, 38 catches, 543 yards, 3 touchdowns

Pick 86: Kahale Warring, TE, Houston Texans

The Texans love drafting tight ends. They selected two last year, and now add Warring to one of the most crowded tight end rooms in the league. Warring is uber-athletic but extremely raw. He may never emerge as a fantasy option.

Pick 86: Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots

Thanks, Bill. Just when we thought we had some clarity in the Pats’ backfield, they had to go and do this. Harris has overlap with Sony Michel’s skill set. His presence drives down Michel’s value and will likely create a weekly fantasy conundrum in the Patriots’ backfield.

2019 projection: 90 carries, 378 yards, 3 touchdowns, 18 catches, 134 yards, 1 touchdown

Pick 93: Miles Boykin, WR, Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson gets another weapon after the Ravens already selected Marquise Brown. Boykin is in many ways the polar opposite of Brown and will give Baltimore a big-bodied option who has similarities to Kenny Golladay. This isn’t the best short-term landing spot, but Boykin still has long-term dynasty appeal

2019 projection: 39 targets, 25 catches, 284 yards, 2 touchdowns

Pick 96: Dawson Knox, TE, Buffalo Bills

Buffalo had arguably the thinnest tight end depth charts in the league, so there’s plenty of opportunity for Knox. While he didn’t put up big numbers in college, he tested well in the pre-draft process. Rookie tight ends rarely have fantasy value, but Knox will have long-term dynasty value.

2019 projection: 41 targets, 28 catches, 298 yards, 2 touchdowns

Pick 100: Will Grier, QB, Carolina Panthers

This pick shows the NFL likely views Grier as a long-term backup. Fantasy players should take notice and not prioritize Grier in rookie drafts.

Pick 102: Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota Vikings

With Latavius Murray out of the mix, the Vikings selected Mattison to slide in behind Dalvin Cook on the depth chart. Let’s be clear that this is still very much Cook’s backfield. Mattison should only be viewed as a handcuff at this point.

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