Madden 25 Sim for Wild Card Weekend – Sunday Games

Playstation 4 Madden 25 simulations predict what's going to happen over Wild Card weekend before it happens. Tyler Loechner explores which predictions are realistic and which are not for Sunday's ...

| 3 years ago
AJ Green

Madden 25 Sim for Wild Card Weekend – Sunday Games


AJ GreenHow accurate are Madden simulations? I simmed all Wild Card weekend playoff games on Madden 25 on Playstation 4, and just like real football, my virtual football players had just one chance to prove their worth; this is not the average of multiple simulations. The quarters were set for six minutes and the difficulty set to All-Pro. The entire game was simulated (no user-controlled plays).

This post analyzes the simulations to find out what Madden will get right and what it will get wrong. The below simulations are for Sunday’s games. You can find simulations for Saturday’s games here.

 

Madden Says: 49ers – 20, Packers – 17

Key Players/Stats

Packers 49ers
Aaron Rodgers 28 of 50, 273 yds, 2 TD/2 INT Colin Kaepernick 21 of 37, 296 yds, 0 TD/2 INT, 7 car, 16 yds, 0 TD
Eddie Lacy 12 car, 51 yds, 0 TD Frank Gore 26 car, 102 yds, 0 TD
Jordy Nelson 8 rec, 101 yds, 1 TD Anquan Boldin 9 rec, 140 yds, 0 TD
James Jones 7 rec, 66 yds, 0 TD Michael Crabtree 5 rec, 87 yds, 0 TD
Randall Cobb 4 rec, 40 yds, 0 TD Vernon Davis 2 rec, 6 yds, 0 TD

What will come true 

1) Jordy Nelson leading the Packers in receptions.

Nelson had 85 receptions on the season, nearly 30 more than any other Packers receiver. Had Randall Cobb played all 16 games, he would have finished with around 85 as well, but Cobb is still getting back into the swing of things — he played just 47.8 percent of Green Bay’s snaps in Week 17.

In Rodgers’ first game back from injury, Nelson had season-highs in targets (15), receptions (10), and yards (161).  I think Nelson will be the go-to guy when Rodgers drops back to pass again.

2) Aaron Rodgers throwing for less than 300 yards.

Quarterbacks are no longer esteemed for breaking the 300-yard mark, but doing so in this game’s expected weather conditions would be worthy of praise — I just don’t think he’ll do it. Rodgers threw for over 300 yards in four of the eight full games he played this season, including Week 17 against the Bears. But that game turned into a shootout, which likely won’t happen against the 49ers.

3) Frank Gore carrying the ball over 20 times.

I think the 49ers are going to hand the ball off a lot in this game — Colin Kaepernick won’t be able to run all over the Packers by himself again. So that means a heavy dose of Frank Gore.

Gore had more than 20 carries in six games this season, including back-to-back games in Weeks 15 and 16. The 26 carries Madden predicts would be a season-high, but 20 is not out of the question.

4) Anquan Boldin coming through.

He might not finish the real game with nine receptions and 140 yards, but he has traditionally been a safe bet in the playoffs. Boldin caught four touchdowns in four playoff games with the Ravens last season.

Boldin has seven straight games with a positive PFF grade. He also finished this season with 0.53 PPO (fantasy points per opportunity), second most among all receivers. The only player ahead of him in terms of PPO? Calvin Johnson.

 

What won’t come true

1) Eddie Lacy finishing with just 12 carries.

The second-team All-Pro rookie has carried the ball more than 12 times in all but two games this season, and in one of those he was knocked out of after just one carry.

Excluding the games in which he was injured, Lacy averaged over 20 carries per game. And that didn’t change when Rodgers came back; Lacy carried the ball 21 times in Week 17. 

2) Colin Kaepernick, Frank Gore, Anquan Boldin, Michael Crabtree, and Vernon Davis all failing to score. 

I mean, really, Madden? It’s possible that Gore will have a touchdown vulture from him, but one of these five is going to score a touchdown.

3) Vernon Davis having just six yards.

Davis ending with two catches isn’t the most unrealistic thing — he has averaged just 2.8 catches per game over the past nine weeks — but gaining only six yards is not likely to happen.

Davis averaged 16.3 YPC on the season. That’s of note because he averaged 16.3 YPC in the Week 1 game against the Packers, when he gained 98 yards and scored twice.

 

Cincinnati Bengals vs. San Diego Chargers

Madden Says: Bengals – 34, Chargers – 20

Key Players/Stats

Chargers Bengals
Philip Rivers 26 of 43, 271 yds, 2 TD/1 INT Andy Dalton 25 of 41, 292 yds, 3 TD/0 INT
Ryan Mathews 19 car, 73 yds, 1 TD Giovani Bernard 11 car, 46 yds, 0 TD, 3 rec, 32 yds, 0 TD
Vincent Brown 7 rec, 83 yds,  TD BenJarvus Green-Ellis 9 car, 51 yds, 1 TD, 3 rec, 20 yds, 0 TD
Eddie Royal 6 rec, 52 yds, 1 TD A.J. Green 4 rec, 94 yds, 1 TD
Antonio Gates 5 rec, 64 yds, 0 TD Jermaine Gresham 7 rec, 42 yds, 2 TD
Keenan Allen 3 rec, 34 yds, 0 TD Marvin Jones 5 rec, 80 yds, 0 TD

 

What will come true

1) “Good” Andy Dalton showing up.

The “Good” Andy Dalton and “Bad” Andy Dalton narrative is based in truth. He has eight games this season with a negative PFF grade and eight games with a positive PFF grade.

However, Dalton is on a streak of four straight games with a positive grade. In two of those games he was just barely graded positively, but they count nonetheless. Madden seems thinks he will make it five straight, and I don’t see any reason to disagree; San Diego’s defense did struggle against Kansas City’s second stringers, after all.

2) Ryan Mathews scoring a touchdown.

Over the last nine games of the season, Mathews scored a touchdown in six of them. He also averaged over 26 carries per game over the last four weeks, and there’s no reason he won’t carry the load again this weekend.

3) Giovani Bernard finishing with 11 carries.

Bernard’s carries since Week 10: 14, 10, 14, 12, 13, 13, 13.

He was one of the best in terms of yards per carry for the majority of the season, but struggled down the stretch. He averaged 2.5, 1.5, and 1.7 YPC in Weeks 15, 16, and 17, respectively, so it’s possible the Bengals will give BenJarvus Green-Ellis — a player with playoff experience — a slightly larger role if Bernard can’t get it going right off the bat.

4) A.J. Green having 90-plus yards and a touchdown.

If “Good” Andy Dalton really does show up, that will mean good things for Green. Green saw 39 targets over the last three weeks of the season, second most among all wide receivers.

 

What won’t come true

1) Vincent Brown ending with seven receptions for 83 yards.

Brown caught seven passes in both Weeks 4 and 5, but hasn’t caught more than three in a game since then. He also gained more than 40 yards just once since Week 5.

2) BenJarvus Green Ellis catching three passes.

He had four receptions the entire season.

3) Jermaine Gresham scoring two touchdowns.

He did have four touchdowns in the regular season — all of which came in the second half of the season — but he has never had a multi-touchdown game in his career.

 

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Tyler Loechner is a lead writer at PFF Fantasy. He has played fantasy football since 1999 and has been a part of the PFF Fantasy staff since 2010. Tyler was also previously a fantasy football featured columnist at Bleacher Report.

  • Laura Koscki

    The Packers had been choking at the goal line and we all thought Lacy was going to run the ball in at the goal line, no chance of that happening because Lacy was on the sidelines. They rigged the game for 409=49ers. Aaron Rodger’s was sacked 4 times, that indicated he needed Lacy at the Goal line. Also Aaron should have come out throwing the ball, no Lacy in the beginning of the game was running the ball. The 49ers were favored to win by 3 pts. that would indicated Aaron Rodger’s needed to come out Explosive and on top of his game the first time he had the ball in his hands, no Lacy had to powerhouse the ball down the field. But not at the goal line, this is BS, pulling a KEY PLAYER OUT OF THE GAME!!! TOO MANY VARIABLES IN NFL.The 49ers=409=Finish line, maybe Super Bowl 2014

    The First Bomb of the Boston Marathon went off at 4:09 into the race. 409 is a Computer Error Code that means “CONFLICT” Independence Hall in Philadelphia is engraved on the back of the $100 Bill— the clock on Independence Hall is set to 4:09 Go to the Library of Congress Website— the official reading room clock has a statue of the God Saturn surrounded by a Zodiac that is being blasted with a Comet —the clock is set at 4:09 During the Week of the Mandela Funeral the World lost Two of our beloved actresses and one actor…..They have all died in the same week. Eleanor Parker, Peter O’Toole and Joan Fontaine. Eleanor Parker, Peter O’Toole, Joan Fontaine = 409 And finally I saw a Picture of the Nelson Mandella Funeral from December 14th– (the One year anniversary of Sandy Hook)- And there was the Coffin of Mandela being loaded onto a Plane. That’s right—- PLANE # “409”