In The Trenches – Week 3

Ross Miles takes a look at a PFF signature stat and how it can be used to find fantasy value at defensive end.

| 3 years ago

In The Trenches – Week 3

cameron jordanEach week I’ll be using data from PFF and around the web to give some insight into IDP fantasy football, and how using these metrics can lead to finding undervalued players, potential breakouts and sleepers.

This week I’m looking at defensive ends, and in particular how effective they are at rushing the passer, and how that translates into fantasy football success.

Pass Rush Producers

One of the metrics that PFF is best known for, is the collection of data on quarterback hits and hurries. Although some people do not value the collection of data about a failed pass rush, personally I think it gives a good measure of how much duress the blitzing player put the opposing quarterback under during the course of a game. Judging a player purely on his sack output seems a very narrow view of the how consistent pressure on a quarterback can disrupt the passing game by forcing quick passes and check-downs.

Outside of that, we can use this data to understand how frequently Player X’s blitz result in pressuring a quarterback, as well as how often a pressure from Player X ends in a sack.

As we did last week, I’ll take a look at the figures put up by the top fantasy performers over the last two years in the PFF staff dynasty league, using the PFF IDP scoring system, and apply the learnings to the 2014 data so far.

2013 – Top 15 Fantasy Defensive Ends

Key: Sk – sack, Ht = quarterback hit, Hu = quarterback hurries, Pr Freq = percentage of pass rush snaps that resulted in disrupting the quarterback (a sack, hit or hurry), Sk:Pr = percentage of pressures that resulted in a sack.

(The league average is calculated using only players playing a minimum 50 percent of snaps)

Player Pts Sk Ht Hu Pr Freq Sk:Pr
Robert Quinn 209.5 19 21 51 19.10% 20.90%
J.J. Watt 191 11 36 38 16.40% 12.90%
Chandler Jones 154 13 14 39 10.80% 19.70%
Muhammad Wilkerson 149 11 9 32 8.70% 21.20%
Calais Campbell 146.5 11 17 40 11.10% 16.20%
Carlos Dunlap 143 9 20 40 12.10% 13.00%
Justin Tuck 134.5 12 12 44 13.10% 17.60%
Cameron Jordan 132.5 14 12 50 14.50% 18.40%
Olivier Vernon 132 11 5 32 9.50% 22.90%
Rob Ninkovich 131 8 14 46 12.90% 11.80%
Greg Hardy 125 14 24 44 15.30% 17.10%
Lamarr Houston 123 6 16 41 11.60% 9.50%
Mario Williams 123 14 7 48 11.80% 20.30%
Jared Allen 120 13 18 34 10.00% 20.00%
Adrian Clayborn 119.5 6 11 31 9.60% 12.50%
LEAGUE AVERAGE n/a 7.3 10.2 30.8 10.80% 15.10%

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Ross Miles is a Lead Writer for Pro Football Focus Fantasy. Follow him on Twitter – @RossMilesNFL

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Ross Miles is a lead fantasy writer on PFF Fantasy. He contributes IDP content to the site. He was the 2011 winner of the FantasyPros IDP Expert Rankings contest for both weekly in-season rankings and also for pre-season rankings and finished second in IDP rankings in 2012 and 2015. Ross is also a member of the FSWA.

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