First Rounds FOMO

Ryan McKee delves into early round ADP of years gone by to look at whether much change has really occurred over the years.

| 2 years ago
Montee Ball

First Rounds FOMO


Montee BallPlus ca change, plus c’est la meme chose. More likely, you know this quote from Jean-Baptiste Alphonse Karr as “the more things change, the more things stay the same.”

In preparation for D-Day – Draft Day, that is – you’re inundating yourself with articles that are effectively about change.  On a micro scale, how is running back X going to perform coming off surgery, how is wide receiver Y going to do under a new offense and so on. At a more macro level, it’s about the ever-shifting landscape of value. How is the shift to a more pass-heavy league or the prevalence of more RBBCs affecting draft strategy?

Surely it’s important to know the trends. Good QBs are the new average QBs, so does that mean you can grab one late or do you need an elite chucker to distance yourself from the others? Meanwhile, stud rushers – those that have both the skill and job security to claim 250+ carries and a healthy amount of TDs – are shrinking so you better get one early. Receiver is deep but only the top tier wide outs are able to match production with week-to-week consistency. And tight ends are all over the map, sprinkled amongst every round or two.

But I’m going to put a different lens on this year and show you something you may not have considered.

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  • Dan

    A fellow Canadian! Cheers sir!