Dynasty Stock Watch: Tracking future fantasy values

Michael Moore looks at future value for a group of fantasy options for dynasty leagues.

| 11 months ago
(Frederick Breedon/Getty Images)

(Frederick Breedon/Getty Images)

Dynasty Stock Watch: Tracking future fantasy values

While most players are gearing up for redrafts, dynasty leaguers have had most of their rosters for several years. They have made trades and cuts, and they have already drafted rookies. Overall, they have a good idea of which direction their team is going. However, each season brings on new questions and decisions on who should stay and go from their roster. Starting this week, we’ll take a look at the temperature of several players and determine if it’s time to buy or sell them, based on their current dynasty ranking.

Quarterback: Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders

While no one doubts that Derek Carr had a fantastic season in 2015, there is debate about his ability to do so regularly. Beneath the surface, there’s statistical evidence to indicate Carr is just an average quarterback and not worthy of his current top-10 dynasty ranking at the position.

Last season, Carr threw for nearly 4,000 yards and 32 touchdowns while only throwing 13 interceptions. Not bad for a 24-year-old in his sophomore season. However, it seemed to be a tale of two seasons, with 19 of his 32 touchdowns coming in the first eight games against only four interceptions. The second half was a different story, as he threw for 13 touchdowns and nine interceptions, hardly the trend you want to see to close out a season.

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Michael Moore has written for PFF Fantasy since 2013, focusing primarily on dynasty content. He’s also hosted the PFF Fantasy Slant Podcast since 2014.

  • goose

    RE Benjamin: I get why everyone is fading him, I am too. But let’s not forget that this kid is just straight up talented. His pedigree and physical traits still point toward success as an NFL receiver, especially on an offense like the Panthers’ which, while running a lot, is also on the field a lot, and the guy under center is just excellent at moving the ball down the field. Sammy Watkins is basically in the same situation with a way worse QB and everyone likes him just fine.

    The point about him only having one year under his belt works both ways–He was young and unpolished in 2014, and still had a very good year despite inefficiency. I don’t think Cam is going to forget about that, and Kelvin himself will mature as a pass catcher. Yes, he was TD dependent too, but for good reason–he can dominate corners in the endzone.

    Maybe this year isn’t the year, maybe he has to get back in shape and work on his hands some more. But I don’t see this kid just fading away.

  • Michael Moore

    No doubt that Benjamin is a good receiver and still has value just not as much value as I’ve seen in some dynasty rankings. I don’t think I’d be comfortable with him as my dynasty WR2 which is where he was showing up.