Five guys to avoid in the first five rounds of fantasy drafts

Consensus has these guys going earlier in drafts than they should be taken, says Dan Schneier.

| 5 months ago
(Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)

(Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)

Five guys to avoid in the first five rounds of fantasy drafts

With free agency and the draft in the books, now is the perfect time to start planning for your 2016 fantasy football drafts. In this piece, we’ll take a look at five players to avoid in each of the first five rounds or your redraft leagues.

The diehards have already begun drafting, and instead of looking to mock drafts, we’ll use data from real MFL leagues. MFL leagues tend to feature a high percentage of industry players at this time, and I believe leveraging this ADP data will only make us better. Let’s take a look.

Round 1: DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

Although Hopkins finished as one of fantasy’s elite wide receivers in 2015, his story was a tale of two seasons. In the Texans’ first eight games, Hopkins saw 35 more targets and finished with 21 more receptions for 219 more yards than in the final eight. It’s no coincidence that second-half improvements from a healthier Texans’ defense matched up with the downtick in Hopkins’ raw numbers. About 56 percent of Hopkins’ fantasy points came when the Texans were trailing.

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Dan Schneier is a staff writer for PFF Fantasy, a former FOX Sports NFL scribe, and an auction format enthusiast.

  • millerahmad

    thoughts on keith marshall in that washington backfield

  • blabanow357

    In .5ppr mocks thus far, I have been taking Deandre after Brown, Julio, ODB, & Gurley. He’s pretty much #5 on my board. Too Early? what other players with a 1st round grade would u rather have?

    • markmiller868

      L. Bell > David Johnson > D. Hopkins; in PPR and standard leagues.