What is the first thing that comes to your mind when you think of fantasy football?
Chances are it has something to do with value, running backs, or draft strategy. Luckily, this piece contains each of the three aforementioned topics. Despite it being the middle of June, fantasy football preparation is well underway, and the best players start now, with hopes to be the most prepared for August.
As we all know, PFF Fantasy's own Mike Clay publishes some of the best rankings on the Internet. Take a look, as he has been among the industry's most accurate in the last few years.
These are PFF Fantasy's official projections that are updated almost every day, so be sure to bookmark it and keep it handy for your drafts in the coming months.
In addition to these projections, it's a good idea to look at ADPs (average draft positions) for each position, and for the draft board as a whole. Ignoring ADPs will lead to a lot of reaches, or missing out on a few steals.
The following chart is a tool that shows current projections and current ADPs. What can you do with them? Value. This shows our projections, the current ADP for each player, and a number representing each player's value at those projections with current ADP. For those players who lack ADP data, an ADP of 165 will be used.
There are two sets of values, one is for players who have more than the average fantasy points, the other is for those with less than average. The higher the number, the more value that player holds.
Player | Team | Carries | Yards | Touchdowns | Targets | Receptions | Yards | Touchdowns | Fantasy Points | ADP | Fantasy Points Above Average | Value |
Jamaal Charles | KC | 260 | 1149 | 12 | 90 | 72 | 630 | 3 | 336 | 2.1 | 167.4 | 3.5154 |
Adrian L. Peterson | MIN | 321 | 1436 | 11 | 63 | 51 | 421 | 2 | 309 | 2.5 | 140.4 | 3.51 |
Matt Forte | CHI | 277 | 1233 | 8 | 82 | 64 | 546 | 2 | 302 | 4.6 | 133.4 | 6.1364 |
DeMarco Murray | DAL | 244 | 1096 | 10 | 66 | 54 | 448 | 1 | 273 | 14.6 | 104.4 | 15.2424 |
Eddie Lacy | GB | 263 | 1124 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 351 | 2 | 264 | 6 | 95.4 | 5.724 |
Arian Foster | HST | 285 | 1229 | 8 | 58 | 47 | 376 | 1 | 261 | 10.9 | 92.4 | 10.0716 |
LeSean McCoy | PHI | 290 | 1291 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 255 | 1 | 255 | 2.1 | 86.4 | 1.8144 |
Giovani Bernard | CIN | 253 | 1063 | 8 | 63 | 50 | 420 | 1 | 251 | 21.1 | 82.4 | 17.3864 |
Montee Ball | DEN | 235 | 1005 | 7 | 63 | 52 | 458 | 1 | 248 | 12.7 | 79.4 | 10.0838 |
Andre Ellington | ARZ | 221 | 1026 | 5 | 70 | 50 | 499 | 1 | 240 | 31.1 | 71.4 | 22.2054 |
Zac Stacy | SL | 258 | 1018 | 8 | 56 | 45 | 377 | 1 | 239 | 24.3 | 70.4 | 17.1072 |
Le'Veon Bell | PIT | 242 | 960 | 6 | 62 | 49 | 419 | 2 | 233 | 16.8 | 64.4 | 10.8192 |
Marshawn Lynch | SEA | 281 | 1156 | 10 | 33 | 26 | 223 | 1 | 231 | 8.3 | 62.4 | 5.1792 |
Shane Vereen | NE | 99 | 433 | 5 | 95 | 69 | 692 | 3 | 228 | 50.7 | 59.4 | 30.1158 |
Pierre Thomas | NO | 143 | 590 | 4 | 76 | 68 | 527 | 2 | 214 | 74.7 | 45.4 | 33.9138 |
Doug Martin | TB | 266 | 1087 | 5 | 46 | 34 | 322 | 1 | 212 | 19.5 | 43.4 | 8.463 |
Bishop Sankey | TEN | 224 | 931 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 327 | 1 | 210 | 37.3 | 41.4 | 15.4422 |
C.J. Spiller | BUF | 224 | 983 | 3 | 60 | 47 | 378 | 1 | 205 | 31.2 | 36.4 | 11.3568 |
Toby Gerhart | JAX | 251 | 1106 | 4 | 44 | 35 | 290 | 1 | 204 | 44.5 | 35.4 | 15.753 |
Rashad Jennings | NYG | 204 | 878 | 8 | 45 | 35 | 284 | 1 | 203 | 54.4 | 34.4 | 18.7136 |
Joique Bell | DET | 167 | 701 | 6 | 58 | 47 | 390 | 1 | 196 | 60.5 | 27.4 | 16.577 |
Alfred Morris | WAS | 273 | 1167 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 106 | 1 | 195 | 20.5 | 26.4 | 5.412 |
Reggie Bush | DET | 139 | 612 | 3 | 74 | 58 | 500 | 1 | 194 | 30.2 | 25.4 | 7.6708 |
Steven Jackson | ATL | 195 | 768 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 306 | 2 | 194 | 64.7 | 25.4 | 16.4338 |
Ryan Mathews | SD | 237 | 995 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 243 | 1 | 185 | 39.8 | 16.4 | 6.5272 |
Frank Gore | SF | 226 | 916 | 10 | 23 | 16 | 157 | 0 | 182 | 42.7 | 13.4 | 5.7218 |
Chris D. Johnson | NYJ | 210 | 882 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 273 | 1 | 180 | 48 | 11.4 | 5.472 |
Stevan Ridley | NE | 235 | 1012 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 170 | 66.8 | 1.4 | 0.9352 |
Trent Richardson | IND | 191 | 710 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 243 | 1 | 170 | 56.4 | 1.4 | 0.7896 |
Ben Tate | CLV | 231 | 988 | 7 | 21 | 17 | 136 | 0 | 168 | 43 | -0.6 | -12.5 |
Ray Rice | BLT | 167 | 647 | 6 | 45 | 34 | 281 | 1 | 167 | 53 | -1.6 | -11.4 |
Fred Jackson | BUF | 145 | 621 | 6 | 45 | 35 | 287 | 1 | 165 | 92.2 | -3.6 | -7.28 |
Danny Woodhead | SD | 90 | 364 | 3 | 59 | 47 | 425 | 2 | 157 | 95.7 | -11.6 | -6.13 |
Darren Sproles | PHI | 72 | 320 | 3 | 63 | 48 | 424 | 2 | 151 | 79.7 | -17.6 | -7.13 |
Lamar Miller | MIA | 212 | 887 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 129 | 0 | 143 | 106.2 | -25.6 | -3.68 |
Bernard Pierce | BLT | 191 | 722 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 193 | 0 | 143 | 103.2 | -25.6 | -3.98 |
Knowshon Moreno | MIA | 162 | 692 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 192 | 1 | 142 | 71.7 | -26.6 | -7.03 |
Darren McFadden | OAK | 168 | 647 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 192 | 1 | 140 | 88.6 | -28.6 | -5.14 |
Maurice Jones-Drew | OAK | 145 | 563 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 219 | 1 | 136 | 75.9 | -32.6 | -6.01 |
Terrance West | CLV | 116 | 492 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 230 | 1 | 125 | 86 | -43.6 | -3.9 |
Mark Ingram | NO | 128 | 591 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 173 | 1 | 121 | 151.4 | -47.6 | 3.04 |
Jacquizz Rodgers | ATL | 57 | 229 | 1 | 52 | 45 | 363 | 2 | 121 | 165 | -47.6 | 4.4 |
DeAngelo Williams | CAR | 146 | 623 | 3 | 26 | 22 | 168 | 0 | 118 | 98.1 | -50.6 | -1.99 |
C.J. Anderson | DEN | 123 | 499 | 3 | 27 | 22 | 187 | 1 | 113 | 152.1 | -55.6 | 3.91 |
Stepfan Taylor | ARZ | 115 | 417 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 151 | 0 | 103 | 165 | -65.6 | 6.2 |
Chris Ivory | NYJ | 148 | 659 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 102 | 127.7 | -66.6 | 2.57 |
Marcel Reece | OAK | 24 | 104 | 1 | 54 | 38 | 384 | 2 | 101 | 165 | -67.6 | 6.4 |
Roy Helu | WAS | 45 | 184 | 2 | 45 | 36 | 310 | 1 | 100 | 154.7 | -68.6 | 5.47 |
Shonn Greene | TEN | 132 | 556 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 71 | 0 | 100 | 156.6 | -68.6 | 5.66 |
Jonathan Stewart | CAR | 118 | 525 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 109 | 0 | 98 | 165 | -70.6 | 6.7 |
Charles Sims | TB | 97 | 422 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 154 | 0 | 97 | 165 | -71.6 | 6.8 |
Jeremy Hill | CIN | 136 | 546 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 93 | 99.5 | -75.6 | 0.65 |
Mike Tolbert | CAR | 66 | 266 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 171 | 1 | 89 | 165 | -79.6 | 7.6 |
Donald Brown | SD | 86 | 382 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 113 | 1 | 81 | 153.2 | -87.6 | 7.22 |
Devonta Freeman | ATL | 67 | 278 | 2 | 24 | 21 | 171 | 1 | 79 | 112.9 | -89.6 | 3.39 |
David Wilson | NYG | 95 | 406 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 102 | 0 | 79 | 135.4 | -89.6 | 5.64 |
Vick Ballard | IND | 83 | 338 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 102 | 1 | 77 | 165 | -91.6 | 8.8 |
Andre Brown | HST | 96 | 382 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 99 | 0 | 77 | 144.6 | -91.6 | 6.76 |
Knile Davis | KC | 60 | 235 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 112 | 1 | 75 | 155.1 | -93.6 | 8.01 |
Tre Mason | SL | 81 | 334 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 99 | 0 | 71 | 128.2 | -97.6 | 5.72 |
As you can see, according to our projections, there are a few steals available at running back at current ADPs. Pierre Thomas and Shane Vereen top the charts at 33.91 and 30.11, respectively. This also shows who are reaches at their ADPs. Currently, LeSean McCoy (1.81) seems to be the biggest reach at running back at his current ADP of 2.1. Keep in mind, Jamaal Charles' and Adrian Peterson's value numbers look low because they are being selected in the top few choices of the draft. Use this chart to take a look at a few values in the middle of your drafts.
In the bottom portion, it shows running backs who are projected to score less than the average number of fantasy points among these 60 players, but some values can be had here as well. Jacquizz Rodgers is not being drafted in the first 150 picks so far, but is projected as RB42. Keep that in mind when drafting, and be sure to stay tuned for an updated list of current ADP values.