Quick note: congratulations to those of you in your semfinals. Let's make that the finals!
QUARTERBACKS
We actually have some interesting disparity amongst the top tier of quarterbacks, which we rarely see. Drew Brees ranks from No. 1 to No. 4, Cam Newton ranks from No. 1 to No. 6, Aaron Rodgers ranks from No. 1 to No. 6, and Tom Brady and Peyton Manning both rank from No. 2 to No. 6. I won't touch that much on those guys since you're starting them all unless you're in a 4 team league, but my rankings are as follows: Brees, Manning, Newton, Brady, Rodgers. I think Rodgers has a tough matchup in Chicago in a fight for playoff lives, and he's usually not putting up huge numbers in Chicago. His lines over the last few years @CHI are as follows: 297/3/1, 316/1/1, 244/0/2, 180/0/0. Besides his game last year, those are all lines that could potentially torpedo your week, especially the 244/0/2 and 180/0/0 considering he was your first round pick. I'd play higher upside guys in your lineups for other spots just for that reason. Brady has a tough matchup against a stout defense, but he's been fairly matchup proof over the years unless he's in Miami for whatever reason. In fact, taking away his game at Miami this year, the last time he didn't have a multiple touchdown effort was Week 3 against Baltimore with a 335/1/0 line. I have Brees as my top pick because of the matchup he has against a weak Bucs secondary, a home game, and a semblance of ‘prove-it'-ness after two straight clunkers against tough teams on the road. Cam's matchup is great, and he's finally performing like we expected him to all along over the last 3 weeks. You know what you're likely getting with Manning every week, but I feel Brees has more upside given his matchup.
Got a couple borderline starter options and you're not sure who to start? If you're a Matt Schaub owner, consider him this week. He's averaging 292 yards per game at home with 12 TDs and 4 INTs. On the road, he's averaging 220 yards with 9 TDs and 6 INTs. His matchup against the Colts isn't anything scary, giving their middling pass coverage and pass rush metrics. He's at home, and if the Texans aren't pissed off after being embarrassed on national television, they're not a true championship contender. Schaub is a top 10 overall QB using our PFF ratings, and if you're in a pinch, give him a whirl.
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