Ranking every AFC team by projected finish

Nathan Jahnke lists the AFC teams 1-16 based off of their projected 2015 finish.

| 1 year ago
(AP Photo/Mark Zaleski)

(AP Photo/Mark Zaleski)

Ranking every AFC team by projected finish

The AFC playoff picture will be as interesting as ever with some of the top teams declining on paper, and average teams getting better on paper. The fight for the top seed will be among the usual contenders, but the fight for the last wild card spots will be as competitive as ever.

Here I make my attempt at projecting the AFC standings taking into account their current rosters and their schedules. They are sorted by their projected playoff seed followed by their projected number of wins for non playoff teams. Playoff predictions for the AFC can be found below the rankings.

  1. Indianapolis Colts

The Colts are a team that was good enough to make it to the AFC Championship last game, and should only be better in 2015. Their star skill players QB Andrew Luck (79.9 PFF rating), WR T.Y. Hilton (83.6) and TE Dwayne Allen (81.2) should all be reaching their prime. They’ll be getting help from veteran newcomers RB Frank Gore (70.4) and WR Andre Johnson (79.4). Indianapolis isn’t known for their defense, but that is also a unit that should be on the rise. A trio of linebackers Trent Cole (83.3), Nate Irving (74.7) and Sio Moore (71.2) should all contribute. Assuming OLB Robert Mathis (86.5) can return healthy, the defense should be improved. It can’t hurt that both the Broncos and Patriots need to come to Indianapolis for their regular-season matchups rather than the other way around — increasing the chances that they will again need to come to Indianapolis for playoff matches.

  1. Denver Broncos

A lot for the Broncos will be riding on the health of Peyton Manning. From Week 1 to Week 8 he had a PFF Grade of +13.2, and from Week 9 on it was -7.4. Assuming Manning is somewhere in between those two extremes, Denver has one of the most talented rosters in the NFL. The Broncos have a number of players who are among the top five at their position. This includes LG Evan Mathis (92.9), OLB Von Miller (91.6), CB Chris Harris (91.1), LB Brandon Marshall (88.8) and RB C.J. Anderson (86.9). The biggest question mark is the inexperience at a few key offensive positions. As long as each of them can do their role and Manning is healthy, this team is as good on paper as any other.

  1. New England Patriots

Not having to be without QB Tom Brady for four games significantly changed the Pats’ postseason outlook. Even though the Patriots are the defending Super Bowl champions, they have some new areas of concern that didn’t exist last year. Their top cornerbacks from last year are no longer on the roster, and some of their projected replacements were cut or landed on injured reserve. Without Vince Wilfork, the starting defensive tackle for the Patriots will likely be Alan Branch (69.4). The loss of RB Shane Vereen will hurt them on offense, and it doesn’t help that they only have one offensive linemen with a rating above 75. It doesn’t help that during the season they won’t have home field advantage when playing the Colts or Broncos. They still have a lot of very talented players, led by TE Rob Gronkowski (94.0), which should be enough to get them the division title. Getting one of the first-round byes will be a more difficult task.

  1. Baltimore Ravens

In 2014 there was only a game difference between the first- and third-best teams in the AFC North, so despite a 10-6 record the Ravens finished third. Not much has changed between the 2014 and 2015 versions of the Ravens, except their secondary should be upgraded. Last year no defensive back had more than 800 snaps. CB Jimmy Smith (84.5) missed most of last year but started the season strong. When quarterbacks threw his way, they had an NFL passer rating of 51.5, which doesn’t account for his four passed defended. Kyle Arrington (72.5) should be a serviceable upgrade to their slot cornerback situation and Kendrick Lewis (65.4) is an adequate safety. The only major question mark is at receiver, where Marlon Brown (75.5) and Kamar Aiken (68.4) will see significant playing time. They have fewer question marks than their division competitors, which gives them the best chance in the AFC North.

  1. Miami Dolphins

In the three years of the Ryan Tannehill era, the Dolphins have been nothing more or less than an average football team. The team made enough changes this offseason that should push them from an average team to an above-average one. After Jarvis Landry (80.2) had a breakout rookie season at wide receiver, they surrounded him with solid starters in Greg Jennings (77.9) and Kenny Stills (76.3), with rookie DeVante Parker fighting for playing time as well. There are few teams that can line up two All-Pro caliber defensive linemen next to each other, and the Dolphins can now do that with Cameron Wake (85.4) and Ndamukong Suh (87.3). Add in that one of their best players, LT Branden Albert (87.5), is coming back from injury, and you have a team poised to make their return to the playoffs.

  1. Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals are coming off of making the playoffs for their fourth straight season, and have a decent chance of making it again for a fifth straight year. They made the playoffs last year despite a number of setbacks. Three of their top six players by PFF Rating are WRs A.J. Green (85.6), Marvin Jones (81.9) and LB Vontaze Burfict (83.5). Those three played a combined 18 games last year. Defensive tackle Geno Atkins (82.7) returned from injury, but didn’t return to his 2012 form when we ranked him the third-best player in the league. Quarterback Andy Dalton (74.3) is always up or down, and if he can have his hot streak happen around the playoffs like Eli Manning or Joe Flacco have in the past, Cincinnati has a chance to make it past the wild-card round. If these star players can’t stay healthy, then it could be a rough season.

  1. New York Jets

The Jets were on the losing end more often than not in 2014, but there is enough reason to believe they can be a lot more competitive in 2014. First there is the obvious addition of CB Darrelle Revis (88.4). What’s a less obvious move is what they did at quarterback. Ryan Fitzpatrick (78.8) should be a big upgrade over Geno Smith (55.5) and Michael Vick (50.1). When Fitzpatrick wasn’t under pressure, he had an NFL passer rating of 109.9 last year, so as long as the offensive line can keep Fitzpatrick clean, the offense can be more effective. It also helps that he will have Brandon Marshall (82.3) and Eric Decker (82.2) to throw to. The Jets are more of an unknown since so much has changed, but they will get to fight for a playoff spot in 2015.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs have the star power to match up with the NFL’s best. OLB Justin Houston (92.0) had a league-leading 15.4 pass-rushing productivity in 2014. For the seventh straight year, RB Jamaal Charles (90.6) averaged over 4.9 yards per carry. They also had the emergence of Travis Kelce (84.7), who had the second-most yards per route run for a tight end at 2.26, behind only Gronkowski. The problem for the Chiefs is depth. They have had a winning year each of the last two seasons, but if a star player gets hurt, it will be more devastating for them than the average team. They should have another winning year, but without a few more players emerging, they are unlikely to make a strong playoff run.

  1. San Diego Chargers

The strength of the Chargers is their offense, and it’s a unit that got better over the offseason. On the offensive line the additions of Orlando Franklin (83.5) and Joe Barksdale (77.3) should help both the pass and run game. Stevie Johnson (77.6) should also help the pass game, while first-round rookie RB Melvin Gordon had 74 players miss tackles on him, which was the second-most in college football. The problem is their defense got worse. Two of the best players from their front seven — Dwight Freeney (81.9 in pass rush) and Jarret Johnson (82.9 in run defense) — both look like they might be done with football. Without them they have one of the worst front sevens in football. If their defense can step up, their offense can make them contenders. If they can’t, there should be a lot of high-scoring games in San Diego this season.

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers have one of the best trio of skill players in the league with QB Ben Roethlisberger (87.3), RB Le’Veon Bell (88.6) and WR Antonio Brown (89.5). They were also one of the healthiest offenses, with eight of their starters playing over 900 snaps. They already don’t look as good on paper with C Maurkice Pouncey (80.6) missing the first half of the season. The defense has also been on a steady decline these past few years, and that decline should continue. They lost OLB Jason Worilds (82.6) and S Troy Polamalu (83.7), leaving them with just six players with a PFF rating above 70, which is tied for the fewest in the league. Pittsburgh hasn’t had a losing year since 2003, but 2015 could be a down year.

  1. Houston Texans

The Texans managed to be a winning team last year thanks to a few young players getting closer to their prime. DeAndre Hopkins (80.7) has become a true No. 1 wide receiver, and Kareem Jackson (81.6) has become a true No. 1 cornerback. The problem on offense is they lost their long-time center Chris Myers (77.1), and while they are perceived to be similar players, Brian Hoyer (53.2) is actually a big step down at quarterback from Ryan Fitzpatrick (79.3). The defense has the potential to be great if OLB Jadeveon Clowney can live up to his hype, CB Kevin Johnson and LB Benardrick McKinney have strong rookie years, and NT Vince Wilfork (81.7 in run defense) can benefit from playing next to J.J. Watt (98.9). A lot of things seem to be going right for Houston, but they will be limited to their quarterback play.

  1. Tennessee Titans

The team is in rebuilding mode, but there is enough to like about their defense to think the Titans can avoid being among the AFC’s worst. They already had some star power with ID Jurrell Casey (84.8), OLB Derrick Morgan (80.0) and CB Jason McCourty (75.9). In free agency they were able to add to it with OLB Brian Orakpo (83.6), S Da’Norris Searcy (81.8) and CB Perrish Cox (74.7). The offense is filled with inexperienced players who should see their fair share of growing pains. In all likelihood 2015 will not be the Titans’ year, but having rookies QB Marcus Mariota and WR Dorial Green-Beckham should be enough to keep things exciting on offense, and the impressive defensive players will be enough to keep Tennessee in games.

  1. Buffalo Bills

For the last several years, the strength in the Bills has been their defense. Unfortunately, all four defensive linemen looked better in 2013 than they did in 2014. On offense the right side of their line is a big liability, with third-round rookie John Miller starting at right guard, and Seantrel Henderson (40.6) starting at right tackle. While the offense seems centered around RB LeSean McCoy (72.9), it will be difficult for him to be as successful as he was in Philadelphia with a downgraded offensive line, and offenses focusing more on him. Chances are they are more talented than the two AFC South teams listed ahead of them, but their schedule will make it hard for the Bills to get as many wins as those teams.

  1. Cleveland Browns

The Browns have some parts of the roster that are very impressive. All five starting offensive linemen have a PFF rating of at least 80. All five defensive backs in their nickel defense also are at 78 or better, with newcomer CB Tramon Williams (78.8) rounding out the group. The problem is the Browns had all of these players minus Williams in 2014 and couldn’t manage a winning season. In order to be successful in the NFL, you need at least a passing game or run game that can scare a defense, and the Browns have neither. QB Josh McCown (62.2) isn’t much of an upgrade over their previous situation, and lead back Isaiah Crowell (50.4) averaged 1.9 yards after contact per carry last year, which was fifth-lowest among backs. If either the passing game or run game can play better than expected, this roster can be competitive. Without it, this will be another forgettable year for Cleveland.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars

On the bright side, Jacksonville added a lot of pieces this offseason who can be solid role players. They added six players with a PFF rating of 75 or better in free agency. The problem is Jacksonville only had two players above 75 remaining on their roster from last year. They are also one of two teams without a single player above 85. The Jaguars should be a better team than they were last year thanks to all of their new talent, but they still lack the talent to keep up with the rest of the AFC.

  1. Oakland Raiders

The Raiders have a few things to be excited about heading into the 2015 season. Edge defender Khalil Mack (86.8) was one of the most impressive players of the preseason, with two sacks, one hit, six hurries and four run stops, and he’s coming off of a strong rookie year. On offense they added No. 4 overall pick WR Amari Cooper, who had 3.97 yards per route run in college, which was second-best for qualifying receivers. He’s had an impressive preseason, as well. The problem is that outside of a few star players, they lack depth. They only have seven players on the roster with a PFF rating of 75 or better, which is the fewest in the league. An argument could be made for Jacksonville being at the bottom of this list, but Oakland has the edge for the 16th spot thanks to a harder schedule.

| Director of Analytics

Nathan has been with Pro Football Focus since 2010. He is the Director of Analytics, an NFL analyst, and a fantasy writer.

  • AJ

    For all the Colts did this offseason, most of the acquisitions simply strengthened areas that were already strengths or just not priorities. Whether or not they corrected their biggest weakness (the reason they lost to the Patriots) remains to be seen. The interior of that defense could still come back to bite them. That may depend somewhat on new guys like Nate Irving and Kendall Langford.

    People who have watched the Colts over the past 15-20 years are accustomed to seeing a team with a weak front-7 being carried by a few star players.

    • Patrick Hausfeld

      @aj who’s ur team? I feel that even though we are light on the dl I feel that the starters can get the job done. The colts offense reminds me of the rams who won the Superbowl against the Titans. Frank Gore and josh Robinson can be the cow bell. Andre Johnson and t.y. Hilton r going to be a challenge for defenses.

      • AJ

        With all due respect, who “ur team” is really shouldn’t matter. Analysis should always be objective regardless.

        My main point is that with all the great acquisitions this team made, they still have some serious holes on the roster that could yet again cost them their season at some point. As much as the league has evolved, games are still won and lost in the trenches, where the Colts are quite weak.

        • Craig Heckford

          i disagree how many points did the colts put up against the pats in the afc champ game they struggled badly on offence which in turn would of helped the defence get rest. i think they improved alot more than people give them credit for.

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    • Trent Billups

      I agree, as a Colts fan extremely worried and frustrated. I’m sick of having a one person team. We offensive and defensive linemen. How hard can it be?

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  • Woody

    “The problem for the Chiefs is depth. They have had a winning year each of the last two seasons, but if a star player gets hurt, it will be more devastating for them than the average team. ”

    Depth looked pretty good through the pre-season…

  • Marcus Johnson

    people just expect the raiders to be the raiders im convinced…its pretty clear in the preseason they aren’t the worst team in the afc. worst team in the afc doesnt dominate a super bowl contender in any game at all dont matter preseason or not. but what do I know

    • Four Touchdowns

      The Raiders beat the Seahawks and Lions last preseason and that didn’t seem to help them in the regular season.

      • Marcus Johnson

        in the game they dominated they lost smh…in both those games you are referring too the first stringers of the raiders got destroyed…nice try buddy

        • Four Touchdowns

          I’m not trying anything. Stop being so defensive, “buddy”.

  • MD_in_MD

    The Jets at #7 is more than laughable…..c’mon now

    • TonyKP

      Sad as it is to say, Fitzpatrick is the best QB that the Jets have had since Chad Pennington in 2006, and by a fairly wide margin. With a strong defense and a decent running game they’ll be playing meaningful football deep into the season.

  • Steve Bilo

    Really don’t understand how the Bills can get ranked 13th in the AFC and behind the Jets in their own division?

    The 7th ranked team, the Jets, lost by a combined score of 81-23 last year and played zero games in Buffalo.

    The Bills finished 9-7 last season, added a substantial amount of talent (Harvin, Felton, Clay, McCoy, Incognito, Miller, Tyrod) on the offensive side of the ball, lost nothing defensively, and brought in a proven, competent coaching staff which complements their personnel on both sides of the ball.

    • Tyler Ferree

      The bills have arguably the worst O-Line in football and Richie Incognito was the only addition made that will help much this year, a somewhat less horrible version of Willie Colon. All this supposed talent they added consists of a Fullback, a Lottery ticket QB, a gadget receiver/returner with a major attitude problem, Incognito was addressed above, Miller may not get a start this year, McCoy look dangerously like Chris Johnson Circa 2011 last year, so really just badly overpaying Clay. And Oh by the way, Ryan is a bad fit. He needs at least 1 shut down corner, preferably 2 the Bills have exactly 0, and can’t develop a QB to save his life. Finally Kyle Williams turned 32 back in February, historically defensive tackles fall of at that age, while Mario Williams is coming off his best season as a pro, actually getting involved in Run defense and not disappearing for as much as entire games, things that are generally out of line with his career profile and is more likely to regress to the player he was than remain as the player we saw last year.

      The Jets added a solid if unspectacular verteran QB in Fitzpatrick, arguably the best corner in Football in Revis, a Number 1 type receiver in Marshall (who’s of the field transgressions last year amounted to trying to fill a leadership void and answering a question honestly, if you don’t believe me do some actual research, that is what happened at base), a strong second corner in Cromartie, plus some solid secondary pieces, and then had arguably the best draft of any team.

      So yes there is reason for these rankings.

      • Tim Edell

        From living right outside of Chicago and being a diehard bears fan Marshalls teammates were happy he left. He filled no leadership role with the Bears and caused more trouble in the lockeroom than he was worth. P.S. Do some research and look it up!

      • Tony

        It’s you who needs to do research. Brandon Marshall’s post game tirade after the loss to the Dolphins has been well documented. A player “trying to fill a leadership void” should not be causing chaos and calling out his teammates.

        He has a personality disorder. While it’s great that he’s sought out therapy he’s going to continue to be a challenge to work with.

      • Rich Kay

        Track record shows this site predicted the Bills to have the first pick of the draft in 2015 so there is that. Is Stephan Gilmore not a top notch corner? Is Richie Incognito not a past probowl talent? Has Miller not been a starter since mini camp? Your comments are terrible. Kyle is going to fall off and Mario is going to regress?

        You sound like a person with an axe to grind not an objective observer.

      • Paul Flores

        Bills destroyed the jets last year twice, so there is that. Fitzpatrick? I remember that guy, quick throw passes were his thing with Gailey, but once Rex figure that out they demolished the Bills that year. We were 5-3 and fell apart once every team knew that Fitzpatrick was a one trick pony.

    • steven leslie

      I’m surprised the Bills are 13th as well. I guess the projection system doesn’t think highly of their QBs. Still, it sure feels like they should be ahead of the Titans and Jets.

      And yes, the Jets *could* be good. But I don’t understand the love for Fitz, who has been a TO machine for most of his career. Their D should keep them in most games, but I suspect he’ll cost them more than one win.

  • Rodney Jones

    Bills online being coach by kromer,and roman that don’t count for nothing.one more thing New England still Team to beat.

    • Tim Edell


    • https://www.twitter.com/JRTuttle4 Jeff Tuttle


  • Tony

    A lazy anaylsis of the Chiefs if you ask me. The Chiefs in 2014 won games without All-Pros Derrick Johnson, Eric Berry, and Jamaal Charles. Not to mention the losses of starters Mike DeVito, Jeff Allen, and Joe Mays. The Chiefs also won what was essentially a playoff game for them with their backup QB. Analysts were literally saying the Chiefs season was lost after week one, but their DEPTH carried them to a winning season.

    You’re telling me that the average team would have coped better with those losses? Can you imagine the Seahawks winning road games without Marshawn Lynch, Bobby Wagner and Earl Thomas? How would the Steelers do without LeVeon Bell and Lawrence Timmons?

    This past preseason the Chiefs looked fine playing without Dontari Poe, Sean Smith, Eric Fisher, and Jeff Allen. This is the deepest the team has been in years, and the GM has said as much. Teams with bad backups typically don’t go undefeated in the preseason.

    Some of these other rankings are just bizarre. Titans over the Bills? Jets over the Steelers? I’ll believe it when I see it.

    • Vitor

      Agreed. Preseason is a lie and you can’t use anything to project though

    • Matt

      Jets over Steelers is a more than fair projected rank. Jets are believed by many to be a breakout team this year. If you haven’t seen much on the jets all around play recently, watch the Jets/Browns game tomorrow if you can. The over/under is set pretty low.I believe it’s 37 or 39.. yes it’s low, but the browns won’t put up 20 points against a solid defense, even 13-17 is a big stretch IMO. Which leads me to believe Vegas has confidence in the Jet’s offense to put up some points. Even against a pretty good Browns defense. This may be an obvious statement, but it comes down to the play of Fitzpatrick. They have a top 10 offensive line, maybe even closer to a top 5; in my opinion at least. Marshall and Decker are two receivers that any team would love to have. At 6’4″ /230 and 6’3″ /215 respectively, they are both pretty big receivers. Both have good speed and great hands. Both also good route runners and know how to get open when the qb scrambles. Both also being cross trained as a slot receiver. Ivory is a more than capable workhorse back and a good blocker when needed. TEs/FB Great hands and can break tackles. More often than not, if targeted on a 3rd down play in a passing down and the ball is anywhere near them; they will make the catch even when surprisingly difficult and they will fight for the yardage. If the QB can make the throw and they are in a position to catch it for the 1st down, they are a safe bet for that 1st down. The defense doesn’t even need explanation. They have a very strong secondary now. Their d-line, even without Richardson in the first quarter of the season, is exceptional. Linebackers are the only question mark on this side of the ball. If Coples can turn around (not much faith he will) this will change a lot in terms of how people view this group. The potential is there for the jet’s LB group, just a bit raw at this point.

      Basically if
      A) Fitzpatrick can be even 75% of what his best play in the league has been in 9-12 games this year, and then just not play poor enough to LOSE more than 2-3 games (Brian Hoyer did that for the Browns last year…and he’s just….well, awful. Fitz is proportionally better than Hoyer to the same ratio as his last name is longer) and
      B) the LB group can come together and improve as a whole just a little on last year, and Coples can even show up to something remotely close to what they expected when they drafted him; this team will be a fun wildcard team to watch against whichever team from the AFC north decides to sneak into the wildcard this year (Hint: that AFC North team will NOT be the Browns)

    • Matt

      As for Titans over Bills, I agree with you there. I don’t see any way the titans end the season ahead of the Bills. Tyrod is a HUGE unknown right now. But at the same time, how could he be worse than anything they’ve had recently? The Bills defense is seemingly going to be a top 5 overall defense this year. They could be a wildcard team this year. The Titans have no chance to be a wildcard team this year unless Mariota decides he is Andrew Luck and Dorial G-B turns into Megatron. DG-B could be a great mid draft pick, has the body/athleticism for great WR potential. But even if Mariota is a great QB, and Green-Beckham starts off the season faster than expected and doesn’t seem to require the expected developement, I just don’t see a lot there for the rest of the roster. I think the Bills are more likely to finish 6th in the AFC than they are likely to finish 13th.

      There is also NO way Houston finishes ahead of the Bills and the Titans. I doubt they finish ahead of either of those two with the inaccurate pile of awfulness that is Hoyer at starting QB. They would be better off with JJ Watt lining up in the wildcat and throwing the ball to himself downfield.

      I would bet my life savings that Watt would bring more success to the team lining up as QB than Hoyer would.

      • Jeff Goldman

        Have to ask what you think now about the Bills after a BLOWOUT WIN over the Colts and shutting down Andrew Luck to the tune of 26/49, 243 yards (

  • Dan

    Oakland last in the afc? Way to do your homework.

  • Jaguars28

    Hey, at least we’re not last

    • redtigernine

      We shouldn’t be next to last either.

      • Greg Fuderer

        they’re still gonna play all the games, though, right?

  • Paul Flores

    The Bills at 13th is a joke, failing to ignore they have the best Defense in the conference and 9-7 last year.

  • Josh Coryell

    I wonder what below average talent will run on the Colts for 200+ this year.

  • Rob

    I don’t get how the pats are ranked so high. Brady’s age is bound to catch up with him at some point and they lost 3 of their top 4 corners including the best one in the league and an above average one. People don’t realize how big of an impact Revis makes on your defense. They’re going to end up like the Ravens last year in how their secondary fails them at the wrong time.

    • Riffle,Rod&Fly

      Manning is the real question here. He looked flat out bad towards the end of last season. The Pats don’t rely on Brady’s arm as much as the Broncos rely on Peyton’s either.

  • Riffle,Rod&Fly

    Oakland might surprise people. I’d rank them ~11th.

    • TonyKP

      Not sure about that high, but they’re probably better than Jacksonville (and I say that as a Jags fan).

    • Tim Edell

      16th is about right!

  • Erik Griffiths

    The Bills defense outperformed the Seahawks against like opponents last year, and you think they’re the 13th best team in the AFC despite hardly any changes to the defense and huge upgrades to the offense? This is why you people don’t work for NFL teams.

    • Mark Mccollough

      Exactly what I was thinking. They upgraded at head coach, offensive coordinator, WR, RB, G, TE, return almost the entire Defense, one of the best in the league, play an easier schedule than last year, yet according to this list will fall off enough record wise to finish 13th in the AFC . Excuse me if I find this laughable.

      • TonyKP

        I think it’s more about the division they’re in than their overall talent level, and unless Taylor overperforms they’ve taken a step back at QB.

  • Tipster Galgos

    Hello my friends, I am looking for updated NFL team depth charts, do they have them on this site? regards

    • Tim Edell

      Try ourlads.com

  • Forrest

    I think this goes to show that making selections or rankings purely on metrics is a poor approach. More than a couple things on this list that are ridiculous.

  • The Mysteries of Bob

    Oh no, PFF jumped on the Colts bandwagon! Run to the hills!

    But they would disappoint me if they don’t get a bye, playing a cupcake schedule where the toughest games (Broncos and Patriots) are at home. Another 11-5, 4th seed season and they are only going to prove they feast on terrible teams.

  • humper-dinkle dinkle-humper

    I am not buying the Cots. Their defense is suspect and they are relying on past-their-prime skill players to support Luck. They will make the payoffs in a weak division, but expect them to get exposed there. The organization is poorly run by the current GM . . . its like the old days, with a great quarterback and a weak roster around him.

    • The Mysteries of Bob

      Colts scream 13-3 with a home loss at the divisional round.

      They better hope the Patriots get a bye to delay the stomp. Grigson is basically Matt Millen, he even inherited the obsession for WRs, but he picked at #1 at the right time.

      Still, it’s kinda embarassing that the Colts have had the three best QB prospects in a row and have one ring to show, Luck better be get ready to follow Peyton’s steps on the bad things too.

      • Trent Billups

        The Matt Millen is sorta a cheap shot, but maybe true. as A colts fan, I don’t see the improvement. We must protect luck at all costs. A freaking wideout instead of an offensive lineman.

  • herewegobrowniesherewego

    ” The problem is the Browns had all of these players minus Williams in 2014 and couldn’t manage a winning season”

    This is misleading, even if technically accurate.

    Alex Mack was out a lot of that time, and they still almost made it to a winning season.

    You can say “look at the schedule!” but .479 opponent record isn’t *that* weak for last year’s schedule, and they can almost only do better than last year’s 1-3 AFC South record.

    A lot of people are mad at Ray Farmer for messing up the first round, but improving from 4-12 to 7-9 in one offseason is something that even the teams that drafted Mike Evans, Teddy Bridgewater, Khalil Mack, and Derek Carr couldn’t say.

  • VMI1998

    Not buying the Broncos finishing second best. Peyton Manning is declining and never has been a mobile QB. With four new starters on their Oline I’m not sure if he’ll finish the season.

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  • Trent Billups

    The ranking are meaningless, just win your division and you are guaranteed a home playoff game. As i Colts fan, I’ll take the the home playoff game for winning your division is a absolute joke.

  • DesertRover

    Over rated: Donkeys, Ravens, Bengals. Underrated: Chiefs, Chargers.
    The Donkeys lost 4 of their 5 O-linemen, and Peyton could be running (or hobbling) for his life. The Ravens & Bengals last year played against the 2 worst divisions: the AFC South & the NFC south – 7 of 8 were losing teams, and add 2 games each with the Browns. This year the AFC North division plays the NFC West and AFC West, a much tougher schedule, while last year the AFC West played the NFC West and AFC East. Look for KC & SD (or Denver) along with Miami to be fighting for the wild card spots while the AFC North gets only their division winner in.

  • Bob Miller

    Those Colts and Bills reviews look pretty off now.

  • Michael Harber

    Bills at 13, Raiders at 16… dude, way off. Oakland might make playoffs and Bills prolly are 2nd best in the East. And then you have Indy better than Pats, Broncos, and Steelers.. what the hell are you watching?