2016 season preview: Washington Redskins

With the addition of Josh Norman this offseason, the Redskins look to defend their NFC East crown. Matt Claassen previews the season.

| 2 months ago
(Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

(Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

2016 season preview: Washington Redskins


The Washington Redskins made a couple of big moves in the offseason to upgrade their roster. They brought in the league’s top cornerback on the market to help shore up the secondary, while using their first-round draft pick one of the top receivers in the draft class to give QB Kirk Cousins another target in the passing game. By using the franchise tag on Cousins, they pushed the decision of giving him a long-term deal to next offseason, giving the franchise another season of evaluation.

Here’s a look at Washington’s position groups and where each stacks up in the league as they try to defend their NFC East division title.

[More: Be sure to check out PFF’s ranking of all 32 NFL QB situationsoffensive linesrunning back unitsreceiving corpssecondaries, and defensive front-sevens. Catch up on all the team previews here.]

Cousins must improve consistency in 2016 to earn big contract

Quarterbacks: Rank 17th among all NFL teams

Kirk Cousins was handed the reigns to the offense before the start of last season, and performed much better than he had in limited playing time the previous two seasons. He finished the year as our 16th-ranked quarterback, earning above-average and below-average grades in five games each. He showed improvement in his efficiency, leading the league in completion percentage and ranking second in adjusted completion percentage. Playing on the franchise tag this season, Cousins still has question marks that make one uncertain if he is the long-term guy going forward—or worth a potential nine-figure contract. But he has improved enough to show that he can be a capable NFL quarterback, and has a good opportunity to take another step forward in 2016.

Redskins own league-worst RB unit heading into season

Running backs: 32nd

Washington moved on from Alfred Morris (Cowboys) this offseason, whose rushing and overall grades had decreased each season since a stellar rookie year. That leaves the team with Matt Jones as the starter and Chris Thompson as the second-string back. Jones was less than impressive as a rookie, as he earned below-average grades as a rusher, receiver, and blocker to rank 66th out of 69 qualifying running backs in overall grade. In addition to often not gaining more than what his offensive line provided, he fumbled five times on 163 touches for one of the highest fumble rates in the league. Thompson actually fared better as a runner, gaining more than a whole extra yard after contact compared to Jones. However, he’s not more than a spell back. Washington did little to address the position this offseason, only using a seventh-round pick on former Georgia running back Keith Marshall, who had a bunch of potential coming out of high school, but was derailed by injuries and played just 155 snaps in college the past two seasons.

(PFF Fantasy Insight: Matt Jones is going to get every chance to succeed, if only because there isn’t much else to fall back on. He’s the No. 23 running back right now in our staff consensus rankings.)

Receiving corps by far Redskins’ best unit

Receiving corps: 3rd

Without question, the best position group for Washington is their combination of wide receivers and tight ends. DeSean Jackson missed part of last season with a hamstring injury, but when he was on the field, he was still as effective as he’s been the last few seasons. On what amounted to half of a regular season, Jackson still ranked 12th among wide receivers in total receiving yards on deep passes of 20+ yards downfield. He also recorded the third-highest catch rate on deep passes, hauling in 58.8 percent of such throws. Jamison Crowder had a solid rookie season by catching 79.7 percent of his 74 targets, the third-highest catch rate among wide receivers. Not only will Washington still have top wideout Pierre Garçon, but they also brought in Josh Doctson (TCU) with their first-round draft pick, who had the highest receiving grade out the of the 2016 draft class.

At tight end, the Redskins have arguably their best receiver in Jordan Reed. Staying relatively healthy last year, Reed earned the third-highest receiving grade for tight ends behind Rob Gronkowski and Greg Olson. Including Washington’s playoff game, Reed eclipsed 1,000 yards on the season, came up just shy of 100 receptions with 96, and led all tight ends with 19 missed tackles forced.

Center position must rebound in 2016

Offensive line: 12th

The offensive line should return pretty much intact from last season. Trent Williams remains one of the top pass-blocking tackles in the league and an above-average run-blocker. Last year’s first-round pick Brandon Scherff was pretty much what we expected as a rookie—a solid run-blocker who would have a few issues in pass protection. He improved as the season progressed and had the 10th-highest overall grade during the second half of the season. Center is a significant concern heading into the season, though. Kory Lichtensteiger had been a slightly above-average player for most of his career, but struggled massively in the five regular season games prior to his injury, finishing the season as the lowest-graded center in the league. His replacement, Josh LeRibeus, didn’t fare much better, earning below-average grades as both a pass and run-blocker. In all, Washington should have an above-average line, and could be even better if Lichtensteiger can bounce back in 2016.

Trent Murphy’s transition to interior likely a major factor in 2016

Front-seven: 27th

Washington made several changes to the defensive line last offseason, most of which turned out for the better. Chris Baker had a surprisingly-good 2015 season, posting career-highs in total pressures and defensive stops. A major change will be Trent Murphy switching from outside linebacker to defensive end. He played well on the edge last season, even if he hasn’t produced as much as some have hoped after being a second-round pick. How Murphy will handle the transition, as well as the necessary bulking up to play on the interior line, will be an important factor for the defense. Still, the biggest question remains at inside linebacker, where most of the returning players performed poorly last season, and some longer. Will Compton had below-average grades in nine games last year. Mason Foster played better than he did when with Tampa Bay, but still was an average linebacker at best.

Josh Norman provides major boost to secondary

Secondary: 8th

The Washington secondary didn’t have a great 2015 season, but there were still improvements made after a poor 2014. Breshaud Breeland cut his penalties from 13 as a rookie to just three last season, while improving from the 100th-ranked cornerback to 14th in terms of overall grade. Bringing in Josh Norman (Panthers) is a huge boost for this unit, and gives them a true No. 1 cornerback that they haven’t had since DeAngelo Hall’s first seasons with the team. Washington also brought in David Bruton (Broncos) to replace Dashon Goldson, with the former grading positively each of the past three years in limited playing time, while Goldson has been among the six-worst-graded safeties (out of 80+ qualifying players) over the same time period. With the changes made, the secondary should be set up for its most successful season in recent years.

| Analyst

Matt has been an analyst for PFF since 2013. He is also a contributor to 120 Sports and a former NCAA Division-III football player.

  • Jason

    NFC East winners since 2004:

    2004 – Eagles
    2005 – Giants
    2006 – Eagles
    2007 – Cowboys
    2008 – Giants
    2009 – Cowboys
    2010 – Eagles
    2011 – Giants
    2012 – Redskins
    2013 – Eagles
    2014 – Cowboys
    2015 – Redskins

    2016 – NOT THE REDSKINS

    NFC East winners do not repeat the following year. The parity/unpredictability within the division + having to face a 1st place schedule ensures that.

    • crosseyedlemon

      From a strictly statistical perspective, the odds of a repeat increase with each passing year.

      • Dave DeLuca

        that makes no sense…dice have no memory

    • Joe Doe

      Not bad reasoning and I agree Washington will not likely repeat. Washington will face Carolina and Arizona, Philly gets Atlanta and Seattle. Considering the extremes between the haves and the have-nots, evidenced by last years uneventful wild card race, there is a big dropoff in the opponents the Giants and Cowboys will face in these two games. Regardless, I doubt we see more out of the NFC East than a lackluster race to the Division title, and getting bumped in the WC round.

    • Matt

      NFC East winners since 2001 since Jason just so happen to leave out some important details:……

      2001 – Eagles
      2002 – Eagles
      2003 – Eagles
      2004 – Eagles

      • crosseyedlemon

        Of course the Eagles can never be satisfied with success so they dumped Andy Reid who is still taking teams to the playoffs.

    • Skulb

      It’s just two games. The likelihood of the Skins splitting Arizona and Carolina is about the same as Dallas splitting the Bucs and the 9ers, or the Gnats splitting the Rams and the Saints. If that happens everything else will be equal, so no big problem. I think the Skins will repeat easily because it is the only team without either a rookie HC and/or an unsettled QB situation and because it is being professionally coached for the first time since Marty was there.

    • ijams sum

      NFC East division winners will repeat and end the annual chaos as has been occurring !
      Good teams show up and play well enough to win the needed games and healthy players prevail not fragile ones with steel plates holding them together !

  • crosseyedlemon

    The Redskins aren’t a great team but they are probably good enough to repeat in their division. Having the distractions surrounding RGIII behind them will allow them to enter this season more focused and that can’t hurt.

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