Performance Based Value: Seattle Seahawks

Khaled Elsayed analyzes how much value the Seahawks were able to draw from their roster spending - and with a wealth of young talent, it makes nice reading for Seattle ...

| 4 years ago
PBV-SEA-Feature

Performance Based Value: Seattle Seahawks


In this series of pieces, Pro Football Focus is hammering into the value of players. To us it’s a “Performance Based Value” number, telling you what players were worth (by our grading) in 2012. You can read about the work we’ve done to create it here, but in short:

• It’s solely about what a player did on the field in 2012
• Players are grouped by positions so their play essentially earns them a portion of the positional salary pool
• It’s all about cap hits (these values are approximate)

Here are 2012′s most undervalued and overvalued Seattle Seahawks:

(* Denotes player missed significant portion of time through injury)

 

Undervalued

1. Russell Wilson, Quarterback

What can you say about Wilson? The third-round rookie didn’t just play well in his rookie year, he was exceptional. The more the Seahawks asked of him, the more he delivered and by the end of the year he had finished joint fifth overall in our quarterback rankings. It almost goes without saying how much value he provides.

2012 Cap Hit: $500k
2012 Performance Based Value: $12.6m
Value Differential: +$12m

2. Richard Sherman, Cornerback

In most teams Sherman would have the highest Value Differential, as the sophomore continues to provide an instant return on the Seahawks’ 2011 fifth-round investment. This year he finished as the top cornerback in our coverage rankings and led the league with 23 combined interceptions and pass break ups.

2012 Cap Hit: $500k
2012 Performance Based Value: $11.5m
Value Differential: +$11m

3. Bobby Wagner, Linebacker

It’s almost unfair how much the Seahawks get instantly out of their draft picks. I mean, what’s the magic formula that allows them to hit a homerun so often while others fail to get any contribution? Wagner is another example of this, with the rookie leading our middle linebacker rankings with a fine debut season that saw him force himself into an every-down role.

2012 Cap Hit: $800k
2012 Performance Based Value: $10.4m
Value Differential: +$9.7m

4. Brandon Browner, CB – Cap: $400k, PBV: $5.4m, Value Differential: +$5m

5. Kam Chancellor, S – Cap: $600k, PBV: $4.7m, Value Differential: +$4.1m

6. K.J. Wright, LB – Cap: $600k, PBV: $4.4m, Value Differential: +$3.8m

7. Marshawn Lynch, RB – Cap: $5.5m, PBV: $9m, Value Differential: +$3.5m

8. Golden Tate, WR – Cap: $1.3m, PBV: $4.6m, Value Differential: +$3.3m

9. Chris Clemons, DE – Cap: $4.3m, PBV: $6.3m, Value Differential: +$2m

10. Doug Baldwin, WR – Cap: $500k, PBV: $2.3m, Value Differential: +$1.8m

 

Overvalued

1. Matt Flynn, Quarterback

Blame this on the emergence of Russell Wilson. Flynn was snapped up to be the Seahawks starter, but would play only 39 snaps as the rookie stole the show. What else can you say?

2012 Cap Hit: $4m
2012 Performance Based Value: $700k
Value Differential: -$3.3m

2. Alan Branch, Defensive Tackle

After some disappointing years in Arizona, Branch seemed to have turned a corner in his first year in Seattle. His work in the run game was stellar and prompted him to finish sixth overall in our 2011 defensive tackle rankings. Unfortunately, he didn’t quite live up to that performance this year with his grade dropping from a +19.5 to a -0.1 this year.

2012 Cap Hit: $4.8m
2012 Performance Based Value: $1.5m
Value Differential: -$3.3m

3. Red Bryant, Defensive End

As expected,  Bryant provided little for the Seahawks in terms of pass rush with no sacks or hits on the year. The problem is he also provided little in terms of helping out in the run game, with just ten stops over his last 15 games.

2012 Cap Hit: $4.0m
2012 Performance Based Value: $800k
Value Differential: -$3.2m

4. Leon Washington, RB – Cap: $3.4m, PBV: $800k, Value Differential: -$2.6m

5. Sidney Rice, WR – Cap: $8.2m, PBV: $5.6m, Value Differential: -$2.6m

6. Earl Thomas, S – Cap: $3.7m, PBV: $1.7m, Value Differential: -$2m

7. Jason Jones, DT – Cap: $4.5m, PBV: $2.6m, Value Differential: -$1.9m

8. Zach Miller, TE– Cap: $7m, PBV: $5.2m, Value Differential: -$1.8m

9. Michael Robinson, FB – Cap: $2.5m, PBV: $1m, Value Differential: -$1.5mm

10. Ben Obomanu, WR – Cap: $2.2m, PBV: $700k, Value Differential: -$1.5m

* EDIT: Originally included Marcus Trufant due to an incorrect 2012 cap hit for him.

 

Summary – Team Value Differential: $32.8m

Phenomenal stuff from the Seahawks who are reaping the benefit from some excellent drafting since John Schneider and Pete Carroll took charge of what appeared a sinking ship. Overall, 32 of their players earned positive grades and 32 negative, but when they hit on players, they hit on them big.

 

 

Follow Khaled on Twitter: @PFF_Khaled


  • Darnell

    Obviously a great job with drafting and talent evealuation/development. But man, some of those 2nd contracts are going to be huge. Big decisions on the horizon. Guys outplaying their contracts turn into guys that want to be paid what their worth.
    Wilson/Sherman could be two of the biggest contracts in the league.

    • http://www.facebook.com/joe.kamel.18 Joe Kamel

      I dont see them resigning Sherman, is Pete Carroll not the best secondary coach on the planet? If he wants Revis money, i think they feel that they can replace him. I think Wilson will be easy to resign, i dont see him being motivated by getting the biggest contract possible. He’s a smart guy, and if he wants a life in Seattle after football (and it seems like he does) giving at least a small hometeam discount is smart.

      • http://twitter.com/tmiller07 Tiffany Miller

        Wilson, Thomas, and Sherman will be forever Seahawks. Bank on it. They are focal points of this team. No way they are all gone.

      • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=586505721 Marcus Croskey

        To think they won’t resign Sherman is crazy talk… He is turning into a shut down corner and helps give this defense some attitude. He is the epitome of what it means to have a chip on your shoulder. No way they let him go.

        Also, I have to fully disagree with the part of this evaluation that Earl Thomas is overvalued. I don’t see how that can be said. Pro Bowl starter and 1st team All Pro? That doesn’t make sense…

  • Mark

    How is Earl Thomas at only 1.7 PBV?