Ranking fantasy quarterbacks by tier
August is here, which means it’s a great time to take a thorough look at what your draft board should look like when you draft over the next month.
I’m kicking off with the quarterback position, but be sure to check back over the next few days or so for running back, wide receiver and tight end tiers, rankings and analysis.
Note that these rankings reflect leagues that award one point per 25 pass yards, four points for a passing touchdown and negative-one points for an interception.
- Aaron Rodgers – GB
- Andrew Luck – IND
Arguably the best player in the NFL, Aaron Rodgers has a 183:52 TD:INT ratio on throws to wide receivers since 2007. That’s easily best in the league (only Tom Brady is close). After missing seven games in 2013, Rodgers rebounded in a big way in 2014. He threw 38 touchdowns and only five interceptions, while adding a pair of scores on the ground. Rodgers finished just four points behind 2014’s top fantasy quarterback, Andrew Luck, despite attempting nearly 100 fewer passes. Armed with Jordy Nelson and a re-signed Randall Cobb, Rodgers is primed for another massive fantasy performance. He’s your top quarterback option.
After two seasons of on-the-job training, Andrew Luck exploded into fantasy stardom in 2014. He put up a career-high 4,762 passing yards and, with 40 passing scores, he nearly doubled the 23 he had in both 2012 and 2013. Luck finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in 75 percent of his starts, which was matched by only Aaron Rodgers. The Colts operate an extremely pass-heavy offense, calling pass at a rate nine percentage points above expected based on game flow last season. The Indianapolis offense also ranked third in plays and sixth in touchdowns. Only Rodgers is a better fantasy investment at quarterback in 2015.
Luck gets the volume, but Rodgers is more efficient. Regardless, you can’t go wrong with either of last season’s top two fantasy quarterbacks. Of course, you’ll need to invest a second- or third-round pick in order to land their services in 2015. With so much talent on the board at other positions, you’re better off waiting at the position.
Follow Mike Clay on Twitter: @MikeClayNFL