PFF Training Camp Preview: Houston Texans
- Pass Game Supporting Cast – Tier 3
- Overall Team Supporting Cast – Tier 4
[Editor’s note: The Supporting Cast metrics measure performance of players other than the quarterback, utilizing PFF grades and clustering analysis to group them into tiers from best (Tier 1) to worst (Tier 4). Passing Game Supporting Cast is indicative of supporting players contributing more to passing stats while Overall Team Supporting Cast includes other portions of team performance as well. For more information on support cast rankings, listen in weekly to the PFF Forecast podcast.]
Coming off two straight division titles, the Houston Texans were bit hard by the injury bug in 2017, limping to a 4-12 record. While Deshaun Watson tearing his ACL after a captivating stretch was a major blow to the offense, the defense was hit even harder. J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus played less than 430 combined snaps before being lost for the year. While Watt’s reputation is set in stone, Mercilus had been very productive in his own right with an overall grade of 85.0 or higher during the 2015 and 2016 seasons.
The good news for the Texans is two stars emerged in 2017. DeAndre Hopkins showed his 2016 was the outlier and finished with an overall grade of 90.6 that was fourth best among wideouts. Former No. 1 overall pick Jadeveon Clowney had his highest-graded season to date off the edge finishing with an overall grade of 88.8, and his pass-rush productivity of 10.3 was also a career high. While the AFC South is arguably one of the league’s stronger divisions, the Texans, with the return of their young quarterback and two defensive cornerstones, should be more than competitive in 2018.
Graded 30th overall among qualified signal-callers, PFF’s 2018 QB Annual highlights possible concerns about the volatility of Watson’s attempts. With a big-time throw percentage of 7.49, Watson led all qualifying quarterbacks. On the other end of the spectrum, his turnover-worthy play percentage of 4.49 ranked 33rd among 41 qualifiers. A full season of Watson would obviously be an upgrade at the position for the Texans, but those stats will be worth following throughout his second year in Houston.
For more in-depth analysis on Deshaun Watson and the rest of the 2017 NFL QB class – grab the 2017 PFF QB Annual –
Defensive make up
After being one of the league’s premier corners in the slot last year, Aaron Colvin signed a four year deal with the Texans this offseason. By joining the Texans, Colvin will have the chance to play on the outside which he did in spurts with the Jacksonville Jaguars before they brought in Jalen Ramsey and A.J. Bouye. In 2015, Colvin played over 200 coverage snaps on the outside and for the season allowed 1.09 yards per coverage snap which ranked 33rd among qualifying corners. The biggest question surrounding Colvin will be how he adjusts to a Texans defensive scheme that will be a change from what he played in the past four years.
With key players returning from injury, the additions of Colvin and Tyrann Mathieu to the secondary, and the league’s easiest schedule by opponent’s 2017 win percentage, there’s reasons for Texans fans to be optimistic.
How much the team improves will likely be determined by what Watson has for an encore. The Texans still enter training camp with the 32nd ranked offensive line, doing little to address their glaring need. When kept clean, Watson’s passer rating of 124.1 led all quarterbacks in 2017, but he faced no pressure on just 52.3 percent of his dropbacks. The small sample size volatility of Watson’s attempts over a full season could be the difference in if the Texans are a playoff caliber team, or one that’s “in the hunt.”
POSITION BATTLES TO WATCH
- Primary slot receiver – Bruce Ellington, Keke Coutee, Braxton Miller
- Left tackle – Julie’n Davenport, Martinas Rankin, Seantrel Henderson
- Starting tight end – Ryan Griffin, Stephen Anderson, Jordan Akins, Jordan Thomas
- Starting safety opposite Tyrann Mathieu – Kareem Jackson, Justin Reid
- Backup running back to start the season – D’Onta Foreman, Alfred Blue
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