Frank Gore is secure in his workhorse role
Last week we took the week off to explore the narrative of running back rhythm and if it exists. This week we’re back to exploring our down-and-distance-adjusted rushing efficiency metric to see who the top running backs performers truly are. Two weeks ago, we let you know that Chris Ivory was poised to enter the top tier, and Ivory responded with 20 carries for 146 yards and touchdown last week.
Let’s look at the down-and-distance-adjusted rushing numbers through Week 6 to see who we should be targeting in fantasy trades right now. To give you an idea of how much down and distance affect rushing efficiency, in 2014 the average YPC for rushes on 1st & 10, 2nd & 5, and 3rd & 1 were 4.3, 4.5, and 3.0, respectively. By comparing rushers actual YPC to their expected YPC based on down & distance (Down & Distance Expected Yards Per Carry, or DDEYPC), we get a more accurate picture of efficiency than if we simply put two runners’ YPC side-by-side.