It has never been easier to wait on a quarterback in fantasy leagues. The strategy has gained legs in recent years not just because it enables you to draft better players from other positions while retaining a comparable quarterback later in the draft, but because there are simply so many good quarterbacks to choose from that there’s no fear of missing out anymore.
We recently took a look at what exactly goes into making a fantasy WR1 and RB1, and we used that modeling to find eight wideouts and 10 running backs who have the potential to perform as elite fantasy options this season. Now we’re applying the same process to quarterbacks to uncover which players you can target on draft day.
We analyzed our unique stats from the past nine NFL seasons to quantify what constitutes a QB1 from a statistical standpoint. We examined all season-long QB1s in eight key categories, including dropbacks per game, pass yards per dropback, touchdown rate, interception rate, adjusted completion rate, average depth of target, rush rate, and fantasy points scored per dropback.
| 2007-2015 averages for QB1s | |||||||
| Dropbacks | Yards per DB | TD % | INT % | aC % | aDOT | Rush % | PP DB |
| 38.1 | 7.0 | 4.9% | 2.2% | 74.8% | 8.9 | 7.2% | 0.52 |
| 2016 projection for QB1s | |||||||
| 40.4 | 6.9 | 5.1% | 1.8% | 75.1% | 8.8 | 8.5% | 0.54 |
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