Fantasy Philosophy - Average Depth of Target
Somewhere along the way, it seems someone deemed that completion percentage is the be-all and end-all way of determining a quarterback’s accuracy. If a quarterback passes over 60 percent then he is considered “accurate.” If a quarterback completes any percentage below that, he’s considered inaccurate, and essentially a bum.
If you’re a Pro Football Focus subscriber, then you’re smarter than that. You realize that looking at accuracy in a vacuum and using solely completion percentage to determine accuracy is extremely short sighted. There are vast amount of circumstances that should be incorporated when looking at accuracy of a quarterback – like weapons, scheme, decision making, or drops by receivers.
With PFF, you have access to a very useful statistic that is an intrinsic element in a quarterback’s accuracy: Average Depth of Target, or aDOT. The logic is simple. Deeper throws are tougher throws and less likely to be completed. Shorter throws are easier and more likely to be completed. But how can you use this information to your advantage?