IDP starts and sits for Week 14
As always, make sure you’ve checked out Jeff Ratcliffe’s latest pieces if you want to stay on top of your IDP game. The work on tackles per opportunity (tPOP) helps identify the most favorable stat crews when it comes to awarding tackles, while the IDP Matchup Chart lets us key in on some of the best matchups on a positional basis. There is a reason PFF Fantasy is the home to the most accurate IDP rankers for the last four seasons according to FantasyPros, and data such as Jeff puts out is a large reason why.
Stop by the IDP section of the site and get the latest articles from both myself and Jeff.
With that being said, let’s dive into some start/sit advice for this week.
I’ve mentioned Aaron Lynch a few times this season, and he’s a sneaky play this week against the best matchup in the league for edge-threats in Cleveland. Lynch has been productive when asked to blitz, posting 7 sacks, 12 hits and 37 hurries, which ranks fifth, third and sixth respectively among 3-4 outside linebackers, but as with all 3-4 OLBs, he’s a boom-or-bust scorer. Lynch has failed to top eight fantasy points in his last three games, so I’d only turn to him if you’re an underdog needing a giant-slaying performance.
If you’re a fearless fantasy gamer who likes his matchups, then Corey Liuget might appeal to you this week. The top matchups for defensive ends all fall for 3-4 teams this week (49ers, Redskins, Ravens, Chargers and Chiefs) which makes it a tough week to highlight defensive linemen who can potentially go off. Liuget has shown he can be a DL2/3 in the past, but with three sub one-point fantasy returns in the last four weeks, he’s a scary Week 14 start, although in the ‘other’ game in the last four he did score 12.5 points against the Chiefs, who the Chargers play this week.
Dallas is the highest ranked 4-3 team (sixth) when it comes to Week 14 matchups, and Greg Hardy only has two sacks in six games, which has triggered his slide in rankings as a result. I’m here to tell you the slide stops in Week 14, and that Hardy gets a sack and ranks as a DL1. In those four games when he failed to record a sack, Hardy racked up six hits and eight hurries, so creating disruption in the backfield hasn’t been a problem, it’s just been getting there quick enough to earn some fantasy points.
Ross Miles is a Lead Writer for Pro Football Focus Fantasy. Follow him on Twitter – @RossMilesNFL
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