Picking up the pace: Several efficient offenses, plus Houston
Welcome to the Divisional Round edition of Snaps, Pace & Stats, where we examine trends in snap totals and no-huddle usage. It is meant as a 30,000-foot view of upcoming games, with the goal of identifying which matchups will — and which will not — be played on fertile fantasy soil.
With the exception of the Texans, each remaining offense is capable of lighting up the scoreboard whether or not they enjoy high snap volume. Six of the eight teams rank in the top-10 for points-per-snap over their last four games, with Dallas falling short only because they rested players in Week 17 — they ended the season fifth overall. As usual, the Divisional Round shapes up as the best slate of games on the NFL calendar.
|2016 Snaps Per Game||NFL Rank||Last Four Games||NFL Rank|
|Houston Texans (66.9)||5th||Houston Texans (69.5)||4th|
|New England Patriots (66.0)||7th||Seattle Seahawks (68.0)||6th|
|Green Bay Packers (64.3)||13th||New England Patriots (67.8)||7th|
|Pittsburgh Steelers (64.1)||14th||Green Bay Packers (64.3)||11th|
|Seattle Seahawks (63.3)||19th||Kansas City Chiefs (61.3)||21st|
|Dallas Cowboys (63.1)||20th||Pittsburgh Steelers (61.0)||22nd|
|Atlanta Falcons (62.2)||26th||Atlanta Falcons (60.8)||24th|
|Kansas City Chiefs (61.9)||27th||Dallas Cowboys (60.3)||27th|
Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons
Both teams’ plays-per-game rate ranked in the bottom half of the league, with the Falcons running the seventh-fewest (62.2). Even if the matchup features low play volume — and there’s reason to believe there is upside in this area — it doesn’t mean the contest will be low-scoring. The Falcons allow the seventh-most plays per game (66.2) and the 11th-most points-per-snap (0.38). While their 17th-graded defense is giving up a respectable average of 20.5 points since their Week 11 bye, versus 28.3 before then, the post-bye rate is weighted by allowing 14.3 points per game to offenses graded 18th (Panthers), 31st (Rams), and 32nd (49ers).