We are at the quarter pole of the NFL season, and starting to have a large enough sample size to put some weight in the snap and usage data that we have seen this season. As was the case last week, injuries and unforeseen emergencies have opened up opportunities for players that are still priced as values on DFS sites. This is particularly true on Yahoo, whose algorithm seems to react more to matchups and diverges more relative to DraftKings and FanDuel pricing.
As I will every week, I’ll remind you that it’s important to remember some of the subtle differences between daily fantasy and other types of fantasy football, as well as the differences between the aforementioned DFS game types. Daily fantasy operates under a budget, so the relative value a player offers at his respective price is just as important as his raw statistical production when constructing lineups. As far as cash games vs. tournaments, remember that 50/50s and Double Ups generally have a lower cash line while tournaments will require a unique and high-scoring lineup, so choose the ceilings and floors of your players accordingly. My optimal tournament lineup for this week in Yahoo DFS is at the end of this post.
Quarterbacks
If you’re paying up at quarterback in cash games, I think Cam Newton ($39) offers the highest floor against Atlanta, a matchup Vegas has tabbed with the second highest projected point total of the week (50.5). The Carolina backfield is in flux without Jonathan Stewart, and Cam is averaging eight designed runs per game on top of 36 pass attempts. He is as safe as they come, and getting him into your 50/50 and Double Up lineups should be feasible given the cheaper options available this week at running back and wide receiver. He’s also in play for GPPs, where he should be under-owned after a down Week 3. If you’d prefer to save money at signal caller, look no further than the near-minimum priced Brian Hoyer ($23) going up against a Lions’ defense currently allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. Hoyer attempted 49 passes with the Bears playing from behind in his first start last week, completing 30 of them for 317 yards and two touchdowns. That game script (and thus volume) seems likely again with a red-hot Matthew Stafford tossing it up against an undermanned Chicago defense.
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