Week 14 optimal FanDuel lineup: Load up on Steelers
The 2016 season has flown by in the blink of an eye.
It seems like a lot changed over the course of the year. We went from leaning on big-time wide receivers in DFS to spending up at running back. Tight end production is historically down and now we have winter weather conditions.
But you know what? Every week we get to put together a new group of players that we think will rise above the rest.
Here is a good Week 14 FanDuel lineup that you can plug in and tinker with on your way to cashing out.
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QB: Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals ($7,700)
Like many of the lower-priced options in this lineup, I wrote about Dalton earlier this week in my DFS bargains piece. Dalton threw for 332 yards and two touchdowns last week against Philadelphia. It seems he’s found his footing since losing both A.J. Green and Giovani Bernard to injury. No small feat. This week he plays the Browns, a dream matchup with Cleveland allowing an average of 268.3 passing yards and 2.3 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks. The last time they played in Week 7, Dalton threw for 308 yards and two touchdowns. There’s a pattern there.
RB1: Le’Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers ($9,000)
I shouldn’t have to convince you to start Le’Veon Bell. He didn’t score a touchdown last week, but he did manage 182 all-purpose yards against a tough New York Giants defense. It looks like it could snow in Buffalo, and Ben Roethlisberger’s home/away splits are rough. At home, Roethlisberger averages 327.2 passing yards, 3.4 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game. Away, he averages 233.0 passing yards, 1.33 touchdowns and 0.83 interceptions per game. They will lean on Bell to produce a lot of this offense. His volume always leads to fantasy points.
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RB2: DeMarco Murray, Tennessee Titans ($7,900)
A fresh-legs Murray will go up against a Denver defense that allows an average of 103.4 rushing yards and 48.7 receiving yards to opposing running backs. Before the Tennessee bye, Murray was nursing a toe injury and losing a little steam. This week, he’s not even listed on the injury report and he’s in an even better spot now that we know the Broncos will likely be without linebacker Brandon Marshall.
WR1: Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers ($8,800)
Sure, I think the fact that the Steelers are on the road and playing in possibly bad weather conditions points to a monster Le’Veon Bell day, but when they do pass the ball it will be to Brown. I am selfish and I want all the Steelers points. Brown has scored six touchdowns in the last five weeks. The Bills have allowed eight touchdowns to opposing wide receivers in the last five weeks. I would like those odds for any wide out.
WR2: Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos ($5,900)
If you watch the game tape of any Broncos game, you can see that quarterback Trevor Siemian trusts Sanders. Why? Well, you could start with the fact that per PFF, Sanders has yet to drop a catchable pass this season. He is the only wide receiver with over 100 targets and hasn’t dropped at least two catchable balls. The Titans are allowing 185.6 receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers, the third-most in the league. Sanders will be a big part of that, so it makes little to no sense that he’s priced as the 41st-most-expensive wide receiver (tied) in the league.
WR3: Ted Ginn Jr., Carolina Panthers ($4,700)
One of my favorite tools at PFF is the WR/CB chart. I like to sort by “advantage” to see which receivers have the largest advantages over their opposing cornerbacks. It’s invaluable. Not only has Ginn scored a touchdown in each of his last three games and has six or more targets in five of his last six games, but look at him at the top of the WR/CB advantage chart. He’s in nice company for Week 14.
TE: Tyler Eifert, Cincinnati Bengals ($6,700)
I dug deep into the 2016 tight end problem. Overall, my findings led me to believe that you want to focus on the touchdown element of matchups, because most of the TE double-digit performances over this season have contained at least one touchdown. Eifert is the end zone target we all need, and he’s going up against the Cleveland Browns, who are tied with Carolina and Detroit for giving up a league-leading nine touchdowns to opposing tight ends on the season. I’m stacking him with Andy Dalton, and feel great about it.
K: Kai Forbath, Minnesota Vikings ($4,500)
The poor Vikings had to part ways with Blair Walsh after a string of terrible missed kicks. Since joining the team in Week 11, Forbath has 6 or more points in each outing. Last week you could tell that the team has decided to trust him and he kicked three field goals, one in the 40- to 49-yard range. Interestingly, Jacksonville gives up the most FanDuel points to opposing kickers. The Minnesota offense doesn’t exactly have a nose for the end zone, and only score an average of 19.4 points per game. There should be field goals, and Forbath is at the kicker minimum.
D/ST: Minnesota Vikings ($4,800)
The Vikings are only allowing an average of 17.4 points per game to opposing offenses, the fourth-fewest in the league. Over the last five weeks, Kansas City, Houston, Detroit and Denver all scored at least 11 FanDuel points while playing against Jacksonville. Next up, the Vikings.