Dynasty Stock Watch, Week 3: Are high-profile struggles affecting long-term value?
It was a tough week for some of dynasty’s top players. From the normally reliable (Aaron Rodgers, Antonio Brown) to the freshly minted (Todd Gurley), the elite looked far from it. But is it time to cut bait or is time the solution? Let’s look at each player and see where they stand after Week 2.
Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
A season ago, we were debating who the top dynasty quarterback was between Rodgers and Andrew Luck. Both were (relatively) young in high-powered offenses with no signs of slowing down. For his part, Rodgers had thrown at least 4,200 yards and 38 touchdowns in three of the previous four seasons (he only played in nine games in 2013 due to injury). After Luck was sidetracked with a significant injury last season, it was Rodgers’ championship belt for the taking. But while Rodgers wasn’t injured, his favorite target, Jordy Nelson, was, which appeared to downgrade the entire Packers offense in 2015. Rodgers threw for his lowest yardage and touchdown total since 2010 (save for that injury-shortened 2013).
Heading into 2016 with a healthy Nelson, it was assumed Rodgers would pick up where he left off. But he hasn’t yet. In two games, he’s thrown for only 412 total yards, three touchdowns and one interception, plus a fumble lost. Currently, he ranks 26th in PFF’s quarterback rating. Couple that with him finishing 17th in the same category the previous year after finishing first in three of the previous four seasons and his declining play could be the start of a trend. Other signs of trouble include his touchdown rate of 4.3 percent this season and 5.4 last season, a full point below his career average of 6.3. Or his yards-per-attempt average of 5.9 this year and 6.7 last season, well below his career average of 8.0.