Week 13 saw Alex Smith–Travis Kelce stacks take down the Milly-Maker. Week 14 saw people that rostered that same stack — in an even better situation — tilt so far backwars they probably ended up in the upside-down (yes, I’m still salty). Missing out on three potential touchdowns between the duo provided a massive negative swing, and while the results weren’t there, the process was right on track considering just how close they were to capitalizing on a big day. Variance is inevitable in football, but if we keep the same process, we’ll eventually find variance on our side and put ourselves in a great opportunity to win a GPP. Let’s hope things bounce our way in Week 15, which is a very exciting slate for tournaments.
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There’s a lot of flexibility for us at the quarterback position this week. I think it’s going to create some very interesting tournament lineups and it will really depend if you’re mass multi-entry contests or playing single-entry in how you want to approach it.
The duel between Tom Brady ($7,600) and Ben Roethlisberger ($6,700) is going to draw a lot of interest in tournaments. Vegas is projecting this game to have the highest total of the week at 54 points, and PFF’s Pat Thorman is projecting there to be a ton of volume in what should be a fast-paced AFC duel. Brady takes on a Steelers secondary that has been hit by injuries lately. Over their past four games, they’ve allowed the eighth-most passing yards and second-most passing touchdowns. Brady has had the Steelers’ number over the past seven times these two teams have met (including the postseason). He has thrown 22 passing touchdowns and zero interceptions, winning 6-of-7. Big Ben has been a passing master at home, scoring an additional seven-plus fantasy points when playing at Heinz Field over the past five years. The Patriots have allowed seven of their opponents to score at least 20-plus fantasy points against them. The Steelers offensive line has done a tremendous job at limiting pressures, and draw the largest advantage in our OL/DL Matchup Chart against New England’s poor pass rush. They’ve allowed the third-fewest quarterback hits (58) and should allow plenty of time for Big Ben to make his reads this week.
If straying away from that game, Cam Newton is another quarterback who keeps finding his way onto my rosters. We’ll rarely see an accurate game from Newton, but fantasy points can come in myriad ways and Newton has done that well as of late. A matchup with the Packers’ secondary could make that even easier for Newton this week. Over the Packers last three games, they’ve allowed on average three passing touchdowns and just shy of 25 fantasy points to each of their opponents. We’ve routinely criticized the Packers cornerbacks this season, as they just haven’t been getting the job done on a consistent basis. Injuries are forcing them to go even deeper into the reserves with Kevin King being placed on IR last week. On the year, the Packers have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and the ninth-most passing touchdowns.