DFS guide: Week 5 in DraftKings cash games
Last week’s cash line was right around the 140-mark in most double-ups and 50/50s. The Week 4 DraftKings Cash Guide featured several Denver Broncos picks that flopped, but I still believe the process was right. The same process led me to the following guys that all hit cash value (3x) and were mentioned here last week: Carson Palmer (20.4 DK Points), Le’Veon Bell (37.6), Ezekiel Elliott (29.9), Leonard Fournette (24.5), Bilal Powell (32.0), DeAndre Hopkins (29.7), Cameron Brate (18.0), and Evan Engram (12.2). If you played a core of some of the guys mentioned here you likely found yourself in the green. Let’s aim to repeat that success here again in Week 5.
(For the DraftKings tournament guide, click here)
Once again, this is shaping up to be a week where it’s probably wise to find some salary savings at the quarterback position in cash games. DK was generous, pricing some cheap quarterbacks in what looks likes positive matchups on paper.
The best true punt at the quarterback position this week looks like Brian Hoyer ($4,700). The Colts’ secondary looks like it’s in shambles as we’re still waiting to see stud CB Vontae Davis return to form. Last week he was a liability in coverage, allowing 5-of-6 targets to be caught against him for 101 yards. The Colts defense as a whole is allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and third-most passing yards. Hoyer has had a tough start to the year against some strong secondaries in AZ, LAR, SEA, and CAR. Week 5’s matchup should look like a breeze to these guys in the film room.
On the other side of the ball in the same game, I keep building lineups I really like centered around Jacoby Brissett ($5,600). Brissett has had an up-and-down start to the year, but he’s had a monster outing against the Browns in Week 3 (27.8 DK points) that makes me want to chase that again in Week 5 against another soft secondary in San Francisco. The 49ers have given up back-to-back 20-plus point outings to opposing quarterbacks over the past two weeks. Only five defenses have allowed more passing touchdowns than the 49ers so far this season. San Francisco is also playing with the second-fastest pace in the league, but they have the third-lowest third-down conversion percentage in the league (30.0 percent). That means a lot of quick drives and a lot of punts, leaving plenty of time for Brissett and company to rack up fantasy points.
Other mid-range priced quarterbacks to consider include Carson Palmer ($5,900) and Eli Manning ($6,100), but if I’m paying up for more than Brissett, I’ll be looking for a way to get Dak Prescott ($6,800) into my lineups. This is the projected highest-scoring game by Vegas on the main slate (52-point total), and we will want to get some players on both sides of the ball in this DAL-GB shootout in both our cash and tournament lineups. The Packers secondary currently has our fifth-worst coverage grade after ranking last in the league in 2016. All of the Cowboys receiving weapons are in plus one-on-one matchups against a struggling secondary, and Prescott’s rushing floor provides some built-in safety when considering a cash game quarterback.