The NFL’s lack of touchdowns through two weeks has made cash games much easier to construct winning lineups. As long as you aren’t going out of your way to be contrarian in cash, you’ve likely had a profitable start to the 2017 season. The chalk has mostly been chalk for a reason — it’s a good play based on the data we have. Week 3 however, has fewer blowup spots with high game totals and pricing has gotten a bit tighter. There aren’t many obvious mispricings by DraftKings to take advantage of, nor is there an overabundance of values due to injury or matchup. As such, I’m personally backing off my overall volume in Week 3, but there’s still some shrewd ways for us to increase our overall bankroll in cash games this week. Let’s get right to it.
(For the DraftKings tournament guide, click here)
Quarterbacks
Unlike last week’s top-heavy list of quarterbacks to pursue that were all in great matchups, there aren’t a ton of “must-plays” at the top. Saving salary at the quarterback position looks like the way to go this week. Matthew Stafford ($6,200) immediately sticks out as a great value play given his matchup with the Falcons. Atlanta allowed the third-most passing touchdowns and second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks last season. The two combine for what Vegas projects as the second-highest game total of the week. After opening at 48.5 points, it’s now risen to 51 as of the time of this writing, making this one of my favorite games to gamestack in tournaments.
Speaking of projected shootouts, Kirk Cousins ($6,100) is playing at home against a Raiders defense in what’s projected as the highest-scoring game of the week. Cousins has struggled mightily so far this season, but this could be the bounceback spot that he needs. Oakland allowed Marcus Mariota to score 18.84 DK points and Josh McCown to net 16.74. They’ve allowed at least 18.3 DK points to eight of their last 18 opponents leaving Cousins with solid odds of finding 3x cash value.
If electing to punt at quarterback, you could do worse than Trevor Siemian ($5,500) at the Bills. Siemian scored four touchdowns in Week 1 and three touchdowns in Week 2. While that touchdown rate is highly unsustainable, his top two wideouts are in great one-on-one matchups against E.J. Gaines and Tre’Davious White. Demaryius Thomas will have no problem exposing Gaines in coverage after he ranked 114th out of the 119 qualifying cornerbacks last year. Our WR-CB Matchup Chart has Emmanuel Sanders as a top-six option against White. If Siemian’s going to continue to funnel a combined 50-plus percent of his attempts towards Thomas and Sanders, I’m fine chasing the cheapest way to get that fantasy volume — via Siemian himself.
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