DFS deep dive: WRs in Wild Card week
All season I’ve been writing this column for RotoGrinders.com looking at the top DFS plays at each position. This week, we’re back on PFF and behind the paywall for the Wild Card Round of the playoffs. We’ll be looking at each positional grouping for each team, and examining their DFS value and upside on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Below is the look at the quarterbacks.
Before digging too deep into the specific players on this slate, I did want to mention two important notes this week:
- On a typical full-game slate, I want to feel comfortable with every player I’m rostering. Ideally, even my punt-plays are tremendous values with high-upside. On a shorter slate like this (four games, eight teams) it’s okay to roster a relatively “gross” name if you feel they give you a stronger lineup overall – allowing you to pay up elsewhere.
- I can’t stress enough the importance of late-swap on these smaller slates. If you have any tournament lineups that, after a bad game or two, seem unlikely to cash, you have nothing to lose and everything to gain by adding exposure to some “riskier” lower-owned players. This was the case for me last season in the playoffs when I shifted exposure to Randall Cobb on a number of presumably dead lineups. Cobb was not an on-paper good play up against the Giants’ Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie in the slot, but Rodgers-Cromartie suffered an injury within the first few snaps of the game and Cobb exploded for 116 yards and three scores. I profited by thousands of dollars that week, despite making some poor decisions elsewhere.
Tennessee Titans wide receivers
Over the past three weeks, Corey Davis leads the wide receiving corps in expected fantasy points per game (11.3), followed by Eric Decker (10.3), and then Rishard Matthews (8.3). Decker has led the wide receivers in targets in each of the past two weeks, but has been wholly disappointing throughout the rest of the season. Still he gets the softest matchup of the three, running 49 percent of his routes from the slot, while Kansas City is allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing slot wide receivers.