With rookie fever in full swing, it’s easy to overlook values for existing NFL players in dynasty leagues. This is particularly true of second-year players, despite the fact that they often represent a significant chance for profit, whether it be via buying or selling. Sophomore players have given us a glimpse into what they can do at the professional level, but at the same time in many cases have not nearly developed into the NFL players they will ultimately become. This creates major value-creation opportunities for shrewd dynasty owners.
Below, I take a look at five second-year players and their value relative to their current dynasty average draft position, analyzing how they should be treated as assets as a result. All dynasty ADP data are as of the end of May and courtesy DynastyLeagueFootball.com.
David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals (RB4, 19 overall)
An explosive athlete, Johnson was an efficiency machine as a rookie, averaging 4.6 yards per carry and 12.7 yards per reception, and scoring 12 touchdowns on just 161 touches. With an expected increase in volume, Johnson can still produce elite RB1 numbers even with regression in his per-play output. He should be confidently drafted in the first round of 2016 redraft leagues. However, Johnson has one significant factor working against him in dynasty leagues: age. While I think he is a far cry from a “must sell,” his value seems a little inflated for a running back with less than five regular season starts under his belt who will turn 25 years old this December.
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