Welcome to Snaps, Pace, and Stats, which examines trends in snap totals and no-huddle usage. This year I’ll be looking at individual players on Fridays in Advanced Matchup Plays, and it will appear both here and on RotoGrinders. Before that, however, it is helpful to take a 30,000-foot view of the upcoming games, in the hope of finding out which ones will be played on fertile fantasy soil.
Rank | Week 16 Snaps | 2015 Snaps/Game | Opponent Wk 16 Snps | 2015 Opp Snps/Gm |
1 | Philadelphia (77) | Houston (70.2) | Washington (77) | Philadelphia (71.1) |
2 | San Diego (75) | Philadelphia (69.2) | Oakland (75) | N.Y. Giants (69.3) |
3 | Washington (74) | San Diego (68.9) | Philadelphia (74) | Jacksonville (68.5) |
4 | Baltimore (73) | New Orleans (68.7) | Pittsburgh (73) | Miami (68.1) |
5 | New Orleans (72) | N.Y. Jets (67.9) | Jacksonville (72) | Oakland (68.0) |
Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants
The Eagles’ breakneck pace (22.3 seconds per snap) is the league’s quickest. They run the second-most plays per game (69.2), and allow the most (71.3). Their 72.1-percent no-huddle is tops in the NFL, they’ve upped it to 76-percent over the last month, and in Week 16, the Eagles blew by 80-percent (84.4) – a mark they hadn’t reached in 2014 or this season. Sam Bradford, who has turned in two of his top-four passing grades of the season in the last three weeks, continues to show incremental improvement piloting the no-huddle (96.7 QBR on 45 hurry-up passes in Week 16).
Philadelphia has matched or increased their tempo for four consecutive weeks, while allowing an average of nearly five snaps above their full-season rate (75.8). The Giants are second in no-huddle rate (52.3 percent) and sixth in pace during the last four weeks (26.6 seconds per snap). When these teams met in Week 6, they combined for 140 snaps, although New York scored only seven points in their worst offensive performance of the season. With Odell Beckham off of suspension, neither team resting starters, and the Eagles’ defense in full meltdown mode — we should see fantasy fireworks.
Update: The Eagles fired head coach Chip Kelly and replaced him with offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur. We can tentatively expect a continuation of Philadelphia’s offensive tempo, but will be monitoring news in this area.
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Pat Thorman is a Lead Writer for PFF Fantasy and was named 2013 Newcomer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. You can follow him on Twitter at @Pat_Thorman