DFS Prediction Models – Part 2: Tight Ends
Unless you opt to pay a king’s ransom for Rob Gronkowski, choosing a tight end for your daily lineup can feel like buying a lottery ticket. Gronkowski is almost always worth his premium price, but it limits your options at the other positions.
The second-tier tight ends seem to always be overpriced, as they tend to be boom-or-bust. Antonio Gates, Jimmy Graham, Greg Olsen, and Martellus Bennett fall into this category. Considering their salaries are just below Gronkowski’s, their return on invest is often low.
The bottom-tier tight ends come at Sam’s Club prices, but you normally get what you pay for: low-to-medium points every week. When you pick up one of these guys, you are essentially playing a game of touchdown roulette. If they don’t find the end zone, you will be left with little-to-no points.
What if there was a way to identify which tight ends had a high probability of doing well in the following week? If you knew a tight end not named Gronkowski was likely to outperform his cost, would that be a game changer in constructing your daily-fantasy lineup? You bet it would!