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Advanced Touches - Week 15

Last week Advanced Touches detailed Adrian Peterson’s extraordinary ability after contact and documented his stunning improvement in Vision Yards. This week we’ll focus on a different set of advanced stats to put Peterson’s record pursuit under the microscope.

Purple Jesus currently sits at 1,812 yards with 1,009 of them coming on runs of 15-plus yards. That gives him a 55.7 Breakaway Percentage. The second highest number in the PFF era belongs to Chris Johnson (min. 150 attempts). When the NFL’s speed king cleared the 2,000-yard rushing barrier in 2009, he garnered 1,026 of those on long runs (50.4%). That a man of Peterson’s size and power can best Johnson in a category designed for the track star is a testament to the depth and breadth of AP’s astonishing accomplishment.

J.J. Watt would still be my MVP choice, but Peyton Manning's MVP momentum is a travesty when you consider the historical nature of Peterson's year and the impact it's had on a very mediocre Vikings squad.

Chan Gailey has recently come under fire in this column, but a closer examination of Peterson’s performance demonstrates the madness of Gailey’s strategic machinations. During a season which can be only described as already legendary, AP still trails C.J. Spiller in Elusive Rating by the rather sizeable margin of 99.9 to 73.3. A purported speed back, PFF credits Spiller with forcing only five fewer missed tackles on 130 fewer touches. It would be interesting to know what the Bills’ record would be if Spiller’s snap percentage hadn’t been below 55% in ten of the last 12 weeks.

 

Where We Find That Nothing Can Stop Adrian Peterson
  Snaps Touches Elusive Break YCo/A VYA Routes YPRR
 Darren McFadden 48 34 18.2 44.5 2.1 1.6 12 3.25
 Alfred Morris 57 29 40.6 0 2 1.2 21 0.29
 Arian Foster 62 29 49 49.7 4.7 1.4 31 0.13
 B. Green-Ellis 54 25 0 42.5 2 2.2 19 0
 Matt Forte 52 25 0 31.9 3.3 0.2 20 3.2
 Adrian L. Peterson 40 24 77.1 71.2 4.6 4.2 12 0
 DeAngelo Williams 41 24 28.4 0 2.3 1.9 9 5.67
 Frank Gore 53 23 0 18.1 2.1 1.9 13 2.62
 Knowshon Moreno 42 23 10.4 17.4 2.4 3.1 15 0.53
 Chris D. Johnson 58 21 27.2 77 5.7 0.1 22 0
 Reggie Bush 48 21 28.6 51 3 2 18 0
 Steven Jackson 43 21 89.4 20.5 4.7 0.9 24 3.04
 C.J. Spiller 58 20 70.6 33 1.8 4.3 27 -0.07

 

Darren McFadden ended up with a decent fantasy day despite averaging 3.7 yards per carry against one of the NFL’s worst defenses. McFadden is averaging 1.91 yards after contact this season, worse than Mikel Leshoure. Only Rashad Jennings, Bilal Powell, and Beanie Wells trail McFadden among qualifying backs.

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