It was a week to channel Charles Dickens for fantasy owners. For those who owned players performing on Detroit’s Ford Field, it was the best of times (Ryan Broyles' owners excluded). For those who needed a big Thursday night performance from Matt Ryan and Drew Brees in the Shootout That Wasn’t, it was the worst.
Nineteen receivers posted double digit targets in Week 13, so we’ll start with those who made the most of their opportunities. Megatron continues to shred any and all types of coverage and is now on pace to break Jerry Rice’s single-season yardage record. It’s unfortunate Jim Schwartz seems to be some sort of bizarre Andy Reid (game management) and Norv Turner (leadership) hybrid, because Calvin Johnson deserves to be 1B to J.J. Watt’s 1A in the MVP discussion. He’s unlikely to earn many votes on a Lions team that may be the most talented in all of football but finds new ways to lose every week.
Full Blown Domination Mode | |||||||
Snaps | Targets | Routes | TA/SN | TA/PR | PR/SN | YPRR | |
Calvin Johnson | 78 | 21 | 46 | 0.27 | 0.46 | 0.59 | 3.72 |
Wes Welker | 77 | 18 | 42 | 0.23 | 0.43 | 0.55 | 2.45 |
A.J. Green | 77 | 13 | 39 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.51 | 2.18 |
Chris Givens | 68 | 13 | 40 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.59 | 2.30 |
Anquan Boldin | 58 | 12 | 35 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 0.60 | 2.31 |
Brandon Marshall | 58 | 12 | 29 | 0.21 | 0.41 | 0.50 | 5.69 |
Cecil Shorts | 55 | 11 | 32 | 0.20 | 0.34 | 0.58 | 2.41 |
Donnie Avery | 78 | 11 | 59 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.76 | 1.54 |
Mike A. Williams | 59 | 11 | 38 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.64 | 2.45 |
Pierre Garcon | 31 | 11 | 17 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 0.55 | 6.24 |
Demaryius Thomas | 72 | 10 | 36 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 0.50 | 2.75 |
Lance Moore | 49 | 10 | 39 | 0.20 | 0.26 | 0.80 | 3.15 |
Michael Crabtree | 48 | 10 | 33 | 0.21 | 0.30 | 0.69 | 3.06 |
Brandon Marshall and Pierre Garcon saw only 29 and 17 routes respectively, but target rates of 41% and 65% allowed them to blow past the 5.0 yards per route barrier. Garcon continues to be a risky play for a wide variety of reasons, but RG3 proves weekly that he’s already among the top couple of quarterbacks in the game.
Advanced Targets promoted Chris Givens a week ago, and he’s becoming an increasingly interesting player. Givens is a speed guy who has seen 17 targets 20-plus yards down the field, but he now also has 11 targets behind the line of scrimmage. That’s a recipe for both explosiveness and consistency. He immediately becomes a Top 20 wide receiver play down the stretch.
Donnie Avery and Michael Crabtree are weekly nightmares in the start/sit department albeit for opposite reasons. Crabtree is actually ninth at the position in fantasy points per snap, but his snap totals are both low and inconsistent. He’s only played in 75% of the team snaps twice this season. Avery is a terrible reality player who ranks 58th in yards per route (1.34), but the miraculous play of Andrew Luck makes him a difficult man to bench. He ranks fourth overall in pass routes (505) and is a potential 25-point scorer in any given week.
High Profile Ineffectiveness | |||||||
Snaps | Targets | Routes | TA/SN | TA/PR | PR/SN | YPRR | |
Marques Colston | 69 | 11 | 48 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 0.70 | 1.48 |
Hakeem Nicks | 61 | 10 | 32 | 0.16 | 0.31 | 0.52 | 1.34 |
Denarius Moore | 47 | 8 | 31 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.66 | 1.00 |
Julio Jones | 47 | 8 | 34 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.72 | 1.41 |
Kenny Britt | 67 | 8 | 48 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.72 | 0.83 |
Mike Wallace | 41 | 8 | 26 | 0.20 | 0.31 | 0.63 | 1.69 |
Reggie Wayne | 79 | 8 | 59 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.75 | 0.86 |
Torrey Smith | 61 | 8 | 36 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 0.59 | 0.92 |
Larry Fitzgerald | 54 | 6 | 33 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
Justin Blackmon | 67 | 6 | 46 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.69 | 0.20 |
Jeremy Maclin | 62 | 5 | 33 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.53 | 1.15 |
Advanced Targets has been concerned about the fantasy viability of Denarius Moore and Torrey Smith for weeks now, and we saw the situation reach its zenith with Moore getting benched in Week 13. Moore’s catch rate is down to 45%, and he’s only hauled in four of his last 19 targets. Smith is just marginally better, having caught only 40% of his targets since Week 8.
Hakeem Nicks and Kenny Britt continue to post enigmatic lines during their injury-riddled seasons. They now present tricky start/sit decisions for fantasy owners who’ve made the tournament. Despite another week of poor performance, their peripherals make them difficult to bench. Nicks was targeted on 31% of his routes in Week 13 and sports a solid 1.8 yards per route on the season. Britt only lassoed two of his eight targets on Sunday but caught a touchdown for the second straight week. He seems like a renewed focal point in the Titans offense.
Mike Wallace saw his snaps cut in a Mike Tomlin motivational ploy, but that only meant his routes per snap and targets per route increased. With Roethlisberger returning, he regains his status as a WR3.
Deep League Starts for Week 14 | |||||||
Snaps | Targets | Routes | TA/SN | TA/PR | PR/SN | YPRR | |
T.Y. Hilton | 70 | 12 | 53 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.76 | 1.89 |
Kendall Wright | 55 | 10 | 42 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.76 | 1.86 |
Josh Gordon | 65 | 7 | 35 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.54 | 3.31 |
Andrew Hawkins | 56 | 7 | 33 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.59 | 1.42 |
Golden Tate | 70 | 6 | 40 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.57 | 2.40 |
T.Y. Hilton, Josh Gordon, and Golden Tate have played well enough of late that they will see plenty of Week 14 starting lineups even in shallow leagues. All of these players saw at least 30 routes, and all save Tate sported good peripherals. The Golden Child requires explosive plays to overcome his role in the Seahawks offense, but he’s proving capable of those on a weekly basis. He’s on a streak of four consecutive games with a PFF rating of +1.0 or higher and has scored four touchdowns in that span.
Gordon recorded his first 100-yard game on Sunday, but it was his third straight with at least six targets, four catches, and 50 yards.
The Rest | |||||||
Snaps | Targets | Routes | TA/SN | TA/PR | PR/SN | YPRR | |
Brian Hartline | 57 | 10 | 34 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.60 | 2.47 |
Juron Criner | 34 | 10 | 31 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.91 | 0.84 |
Antonio Brown | 52 | 9 | 33 | 0.17 | 0.27 | 0.63 | 1.76 |
Danario Alexander | 67 | 8 | 52 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.78 | 1.96 |
Michael Floyd | 51 | 8 | 34 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.67 | 0.65 |
Sidney Rice | 71 | 8 | 41 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.58 | 2.41 |
Steve L. Smith | 51 | 8 | 31 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.61 | 3.87 |
Victor Cruz | 62 | 8 | 33 | 0.13 | 0.24 | 0.53 | 3.15 |
Dwayne Bowe | 55 | 7 | 23 | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.42 | 2.78 |
Malcom Floyd | 69 | 7 | 53 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.77 | 1.15 |
Stephen Hill | 49 | 7 | 27 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.55 | 1.48 |
Vincent Jackson | 66 | 7 | 41 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.62 | 1.34 |
Andre Johnson | 71 | 6 | 35 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 0.49 | 1.6 |
Dez Bryant | 55 | 6 | 29 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 0.53 | 3.38 |
Emmanuel Sanders | 49 | 6 | 29 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 0.59 | 2.07 |
Greg Jennings | 56 | 6 | 33 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.59 | 1.39 |
Jeremy Kerley | 50 | 6 | 29 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 0.58 | 1.28 |
Kevin Elliott | 31 | 6 | 25 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.81 | 0.96 |
Mario Manningham | 28 | 6 | 24 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.86 | 1.54 |
Nate Washington | 69 | 6 | 51 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.74 | 1.88 |
Randall Cobb | 62 | 6 | 33 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.53 | 1.88 |
Roddy White | 59 | 6 | 33 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.56 | 0.61 |
Tiquan Underwood | 45 | 6 | 31 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.69 | 0.39 |
Darrius Heyward-Bey | 59 | 5 | 42 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.71 | 0.95 |
Davone Bess | 60 | 5 | 35 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.58 | 0.37 |
Greg Little | 59 | 5 | 31 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.53 | 1.55 |
Jerome Simpson | 39 | 5 | 24 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.62 | 1.04 |
Jordan Shipley | 44 | 5 | 33 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.75 | 0.58 |
Kevin Walter | 64 | 5 | 32 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.50 | 1.03 |
Matt Willis | 23 | 5 | 13 | 0.22 | 0.38 | 0.57 | 1.69 |
Riley Cooper | 63 | 5 | 34 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.54 | 0.91 |
Steve Johnson | 43 | 5 | 18 | 0.12 | 0.28 | 0.42 | 1 |
Austin Pettis | 50 | 4 | 33 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.66 | 0.36 |
Brandon LaFell | 26 | 4 | 16 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.62 | 0.88 |
Chaz Schilens | 40 | 4 | 17 | 0.10 | 0.24 | 0.43 | 0.29 |
Doug Baldwin | 37 | 4 | 22 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.59 | 2.09 |
Early Doucet | 31 | 4 | 25 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.81 | 0.52 |
Jason Avant | 52 | 4 | 26 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.50 | 3.04 |
Josh Morgan | 33 | 4 | 13 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 1.31 |
LaVon Brazill | 18 | 4 | 17 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.94 | 2.47 |
Mike Thomas | 71 | 4 | 42 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.59 | -0.02 |
Randy Moss | 31 | 4 | 13 | 0.13 | 0.31 | 0.42 | 2.31 |
Rod Streater | 39 | 4 | 34 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.87 | 2.82 |
Damian Williams | 14 | 3 | 10 | 0.21 | 0.30 | 0.71 | 2.4 |
Devery Henderson | 57 | 3 | 36 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.63 | 0 |
Earl Bennett | 19 | 3 | 13 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 0.68 | 0.92 |
Jacoby Jones | 11 | 3 | 8 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 0.73 | 0.63 |
Julian Edelman | 50 | 3 | 33 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.66 | 0.39 |
Marvin Jones | 69 | 3 | 40 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.58 | 0.5 |
Michael Jenkins | 42 | 3 | 27 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.64 | 0 |
Brad Smith | 36 | 2 | 15 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.42 | 0.8 |
Braylon Edwards | 14 | 2 | 13 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.93 | 0 |
Brian Quick | 11 | 2 | 7 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.64 | 0.43 |
Cole Beasley | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 4.33 |
Dexter McCluster | 22 | 2 | 14 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.64 | 1.14 |
Eric Decker | 68 | 2 | 37 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
Eric Weems | 38 | 2 | 17 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.45 | 1.06 |
Harry Douglas | 24 | 2 | 18 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.75 | 0 |
James Jones | 83 | 2 | 40 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 1 |
Joe Morgan | 24 | 2 | 13 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.54 | 2.92 |
Jonathan Baldwin | 21 | 2 | 11 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.52 | 3.36 |
Keshawn Martin | 19 | 2 | 12 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.63 | 0 |
Kevin Ogletree | 22 | 2 | 14 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.64 | 0.57 |
Louis Murphy | 32 | 2 | 18 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
Miles Austin | 45 | 2 | 25 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.56 | 1.84 |
Mohamed Massaquoi | 21 | 2 | 15 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.71 | 4 |
Rishard Matthews | 26 | 2 | 18 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.69 | 1.56 |
Rueben Randle | 44 | 2 | 26 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.59 | 0.5 |
Steve Smith | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 1.2 |
T.J. Graham | 54 | 2 | 16 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.30 | 3.38 |
Armanti Edwards | 24 | 1 | 17 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
Brandon Lloyd | 60 | 1 | 33 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.55 | 0.3 |
Damaris Johnson | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 2.6 |
Derek Hagan | 11 | 1 | 9 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.82 | 0.67 |
Devin Aromashodu | 11 | 1 | 6 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.55 | 0 |
Dwayne Harris | 11 | 1 | 6 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.55 | 1.83 |
Jamar Newsome | 27 | 1 | 8 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.5 |
Jarius Wright | 27 | 1 | 20 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
Jarrett Boykin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0 |
Jerrel Jernigan | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 3 |
Joe Adams | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 3.5 |
Jordy Nelson | 11 | 1 | 6 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.55 | 1.67 |
Leonard Hankerson | 35 | 1 | 11 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.31 | 1.27 |
Lestar Jean | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 0.44 | 13.5 |
Ryan Broyles | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.56 | 0.6 |
Ryan Whalen | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.88 | 1.43 |
Stephen Burton | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0.08 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0 |
Tandon Doss | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.88 | 0 |
Ted Ginn | 15 | 1 | 9 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.60 | 0.11 |
Travis Benjamin | 18 | 1 | 12 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.67 | 0.5 |