5 contrarian plays and 3 fades for Week 11 CFB DFS
For most teams, there are only three games left before conference championships. With the college football season winding down, teams have an identity and a lot of times it’s easier to forecast how a team might gameplan against an opponent. This might sound obvious, but stay with me. In many cases, there is a correlation between a team’s passing offense and their rush defense. Similarly, there is usually a correlation between a team’s rushing offense and their pass defense.
I looked at the top ten passing offenses in terms of passing yards per game this season, who all happened to be fantasy-relevant. I then looked at where each team ranked in terms of rushing yards allowed per game. Those ten teams averaged about 168 rushing yards per game allowed on defense, which would have ranked them 72nd in college football in that category.
The top rushing offenses was a little more difficult thanks to teams like Georgia Southern and Air Force, who lead the country in rushing yards per game. I looked at the top fantasy-relevant teams, who all fell inside the top 20 in terms of rushing yards per game, and found their defenses gave up an average of 232 yards per game passing, which would have ranked them 74th in the country.