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IDP Season Review - Robert Quinn

After a rookie season that provided sufficient promise for Robert Quinn‘s pass rushing prowess, his sophomore season was less than impressive. Despite a slight boost in his raw statistics, Quinn saw a decrease in efficiency in several categories.

As I discussed in my article last summer, Quinn's rookie season was hampered by inconsistency, but showed great potential for the young defensive end.  It seemed safe to assume that he would improve in his second season, and as a result many fantasy owners drafted him with a reasonably high pick.  While Quinn's career is still far too young to make any major assumptions, its difficult not to have that small seed of doubt in the back of your mind. This table illustrates Quinn's decrease in efficiency from his rookie to sophomore season with the Rams:

 

Rookie vs Sophomore Seasons
  2011 2012
Snaps 584 849
Overall Grade -8.2 -12.1
Pass Rush Grade -0.7 -5.7
Solo tackles 13 17
Sacks 6 11
Total Pressures 36 45
Pressure Freq. 10.5% 8.4%

As you can see, Quinn saw a decrease in efficiency regarding both tackles and sacks/pressures.  Sure, he nearly doubled his sack total from his rookie season, but it took him 365 more snaps to do so.   His drop in pressure frequency from 10.5% to 8.4% is the primary contributor for his poor pass rush grade, and while the raw statistics are what ultimately make IDP value, a regression in efficiency is a bad sign for the future.

Again, I cannot stress enough that I am not jumping to a conclusion on the young defensive end's career, or even his upcoming third season for that matter.  I still think he has loads of potential to develop into a fearsome pass rusher, and very well may.  That said, regression is regression. Quinn will have plenty to work on this off-season if he wants to improve his -12.1 overall grade. Quinn still holds decent IDP value due to his young age and his pass rushing potential.  This point holds even more true for dynasty formats since his age becomes that much more of an asset. I still like Quinn as a DE2 for 2013 due to his athleticism and his tendency to be on the field for the vast majority of passing situations.  His fantasy owners will also be delighted when he faces Arizona's horrendous offensive line twice a year, likely becoming a temporary DE1 for those games.

For more, follow me on Twitter @PFF_BrianG

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