Top fantasy performers by opportunity

George Fitopoulos takes a look at the top performers in Opportunity Index through Week 15 of the 2015 NFL season.

| 12 months ago

George Fitopoulos takes a look at the top performers in Opportunity Index through Week 15 of the 2015 NFL season.

Top fantasy performers by opportunity


Opportunity Index (OI) is a metric that measures the quality of a player’s opportunity (QB completions plus rushes, RB/WR/TE pass targets plus rushes) versus the quantity of opportunity. Each opportunity is weighted by likelihood to score fantasy points and then adjusted to the position average to get one, clean number where 0 percent is league average and anything greater is above league average and vice versa.

The “+/-” category shows the movement in OI from the prior week and “FPTS-xFPTS” calculates how much above or below the expected level a player has scored fantasy points this season. As a reminder, all calculations are based off a half-point per reception scoring system.

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Quarterbacks

Rk Name Gms OI% +/- FPTS-xFPTS
1 Cam Newton 14 32.5% 2.2% 59.3
2 Ben Roethlisberger 10 23.4% 3.7% -18.3
3 Blake Bortles 14 20.6% 1.6% 14.1
4 Tom Brady 14 20.4% -3.1% 19.7
5 Drew Brees 13 12.9% 2.2% -15.3
6 Carson Palmer 14 6.5% -1.0% 52.8
7 Matt Ryan 14 6.3% -1.4% -69.3
8 Kirk Cousins 14 6.1% 1.5% -26.0
9 Matthew Stafford 14 5.7% 1.8% -38.5
10 Ryan Fitzpatrick 14 5.1% 1.7% 7.4
11 Aaron Rodgers 14 4.8% -1.7% 8.7
12 Marcus Mariota 11 4.6% 0.9% 13.3
13 Russell Wilson 14 2.3% 1.4% 56.2
14 Eli Manning 14 2.3% 0.9% 1.6
15 Andy Dalton 13 1.6% 0.0% 21.7
16 Tyrod Taylor 12 1.5% 0.5% 36.9
17 Jameis Winston 14 0.9% 3.8% 12.1
18 Brock Osweiler 6 0.4% 6.4% -12.1
19 Josh McCown 8 -1.1% 0.0% -8.4
20 Jay Cutler 13 -3.3% 1.6% -11.1

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Running Backs

Rk Name Gms OI% +/- FPTS-xFPTS
1 Devonta Freeman 13 81.8% 6.6% 37.7
2 Shaun Draughn 5 69.5% 12.9% -17.1
3 Matt Forte 11 62.0% -3.3% -4.3
4 Chris Ivory 13 47.1% -2.8% -4.6
5 Adrian Peterson 14 43.7% -4.3% 24.6
6 LeSean McCoy 12 42.5% -2.3% 2.4
7 Frank Gore 14 38.5% -2.9% -33.1
8 DeMarco Murray 12 35.5% 0.8% -9.5
9 Doug Martin 14 34.8% -1.8% 19.2
10 Latavius Murray 14 32.5% 0.2% -20.5
11 Jonathan Stewart 13 31.8% 0.0% -11.0
12 T.J. Yeldon 12 30.7% 0.0% -8.4
13 Todd Gurley 12 25.0% 6.3% 41.6
14 DeAngelo Williams 14 20.1% 2.5% 20.6
15 Darren McFadden 14 19.5% -0.4% -3.5
16 Danny Woodhead 14 15.4% 3.9% 38.8
17 Lamar Miller 13 11.9% 5.0% 52.5
18 Charcandrick West 11 10.0% -1.0% -2.1
19 Ronnie Hillman 14 5.5% -0.4% -20.6
20 Giovani Bernard 14 4.8% 0.6% 9.3

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Wide Receivers

Rk Name Gms OI% +/- FPTS-xFPTS
1 DeAndre Hopkins 14 130.8% -3.6% 63.1
2 Alshon Jeffery 9 105.4% -7.2% 32.3
3 Julio Jones 14 102.4% 0.0% 66.1
4 Antonio Brown 14 101.8% 6.6% 107.7
5 Allen Robinson 14 95.6% -6.7% 76.8
6 Mike Evans 13 95.4% 11.1% 18.7
7 Brandon Marshall 14 93.3% -3.9% 83.0
8 Martavis Bryant 9 93.0% 2.5% 51.5
9 Odell Beckham 14 87.8% -1.1% 106.0
10 Emmanuel Sanders 13 79.4% 10.7% 31.9
11 Demaryius Thomas 14 75.9% 2.9% 28.0
12 Eric Decker 13 65.2% -0.1% 56.8
13 Calvin Johnson 14 61.4% -10.8% 47.0
14 T.Y. Hilton 14 59.5% -6.4% 29.8
15 A.J. Green 14 56.5% -6.7% 88.5
16 Dez Bryant 9 55.8% 7.7% -10.1
17 Ted Ginn 13 48.0% 12.5% 56.2
18 Brandin Cooks 14 45.2% 6.7% 68.1
19 Michael Crabtree 14 44.2% 1.6% 28.7
20 Brandon LaFell 9 43.8% -8.3% -5.6

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Tight Ends

Rk Name Gms OI% +/- FPTS-xFPTS
1 Greg Olsen 14 97.7% -4.2% 60.2
2 Rob Gronkowski 13 92.2% 6.0% 89.8
3 Antonio Gates 9 85.3% 3.7% 31.2
4 Vernon Davis 7 82.1% -18.2% -42.9
5 Delanie Walker 13 77.5% -1.2% 68.0
6 Gary Barnidge 14 73.9% -6.7% 71.7
7 Julius Thomas 10 58.9% 6.5% 18.2
8 Ben Watson 14 52.4% 9.3% 37.8
9 Jordan Reed 12 48.4% 0.2% 63.3
10 Zach Ertz 13 44.0% 7.4% 9.5
11 Jimmy Graham 11 42.1% 0.0% 21.1
12 Austin Seferian-Jenkins 5 36.3% 5.6% 13.9
13 Jason Witten 14 26.8% -4.7% 17.8
14 Tyler Eifert 12 25.9% 0.0% 73.5
15 Martellus Bennett 11 16.9% 0.0% 7.4

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Here is the state of the top 50 FLEX players through Week 15.

2015 Opportunity Index – through week 15
Rk Name Gms OI% +/- FPTS-xFPTS   Rk Name Gms OI% +/- FPTS-xFPTS
1 Devonta Freeman 13 109.1% 7.5% 37.7 26 Eric Decker 13 44.6% 0.0% 56.8
2 DeAndre Hopkins 14 102.0% -3.1% 63.1 27 Rob Gronkowski 13 44.3% 4.5% 89.8
3 Shaun Draughn 5 95.0% 14.9% -17.1 28 Todd Gurley 12 43.8% 7.3% 41.6
4 Matt Forte 11 86.3% -3.9% -4.3 29 Calvin Johnson 14 41.2% -9.5% 47.0
5 Alshon Jeffery 9 79.7% -6.3% 32.3 30 T.Y. Hilton 14 39.5% -5.7% 29.8
6 Julio Jones 14 77.1% 0.0% 66.1 31 Antonio Gates 9 39.1% 2.8% 31.2
7 Antonio Brown 14 76.5% 5.7% 107.7 32 DeAngelo Williams 14 38.2% 3.0% 20.6
8 Allen Robinson 14 71.2% -5.8% 76.8 33 Darren McFadden 14 37.4% -0.6% -3.5
9 Mike Evans 13 70.9% 9.7% 18.7 34 A.J. Green 14 36.9% -5.9% 88.5
10 Chris Ivory 13 69.2% -3.3% -4.6 35 Dez Bryant 9 36.3% 6.7% -10.1
11 Brandon Marshall 14 69.1% -3.4% 83.0 36 Delanie Walker 13 33.2% -0.9% 68.0
12 Martavis Bryant 9 68.9% 2.2% 51.5 37 Danny Woodhead 14 32.7% 4.4% 38.8
13 Adrian Peterson 14 65.3% -5.0% 24.6 38 Carlos Hyde 7 31.5% 0.0% -3.1
14 Odell Beckham 14 64.3% -1.0% 106.0 39 Gary Barnidge 14 30.5% -5.0% 71.7
15 LeSean McCoy 12 64.0% -2.6% 2.4 40 Ted Ginn 13 29.5% 10.9% 56.2
16 Vernon Davis 6 62.6% 8.1% -42.9 41 Lamar Miller 13 28.7% 5.7% 52.5
17 Frank Gore 14 59.3% -3.3% -33.1 42 Brandin Cooks 14 27.1% 5.9% 68.1
18 Emmanuel Sanders 13 57.0% 9.4% 31.9 43 Charcandrick West 11 26.5% -1.2% -2.1
19 DeMarco Murray 12 55.9% 0.9% -9.5 44 Michael Crabtree 14 26.2% 1.4% 28.7
20 Doug Martin 14 55.1% -2.0% 19.2 45 Brandon LaFell 9 25.8% -7.3% -5.6
21 Demaryius Thomas 14 53.9% 2.6% 28.0 46 Sammy Watkins 11 25.5% 6.0% 84.6
22 Latavius Murray 14 52.4% 0.2% -20.5 47 Larry Fitzgerald 14 22.6% -4.1% 70.9
23 Jonathan Stewart 13 51.6% 0.0% -11.0 48 Ronnie Hillman 14 21.4% -0.4% -20.6
24 T.J. Yeldon 12 50.3% 0.0% -8.4 49 Giovani Bernard 14 20.6% 0.7% 9.3
25 Greg Olsen 14 48.4% -3.2% 60.2 50 Travis Benjamin 14 20.3% -4.7% 36.6

George Fitopoulos is a writer for PFF Fantasy and can be reached on Twitter @PigskinProf.

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