The most overvalued fantasy players at every position

Fantasy drafting is all about finding the right value. Tyler Loechner IDs the guys going too early this year that you should avoid reaching for.

| 10 months ago
(AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)

(AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)

The most overvalued fantasy players at every position

The best way to ruin a fantasy draft is to overvalue — and therefore overdraft — all of the wrong players. You’ll want to take some risks during your draft, but if you overdo it, there’s a good chance you’ll end up with a team filled with duds.

To help you out on draft day, this article will reveal some of the most overvalued players at every position heading into the 2016 season. To be clear, this is not a list of players to avoid in fantasy drafts. It’s a list of players to avoid at their current price.

Let’s get to it.

[Editor’s note: This file has been updated to include Arian Foster, Allen Hurns and Victor Cruz.] 


Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars
ADP: QB9; PFF Rank: QB13

Blake Bortles finished 2015 as the No. 4 fantasy quarterback, and it would be unfair to say he didn’t deserve it. He threw for 35 touchdowns — tied for second in the league — and an impressive 4,428 yards. He also threw a touchdown in all but one game (Week 17).

But Bortles’ 2015 campaign comes with a huge caveat: The Jaguars were playing catch-up in nearly every game. In fact, Bortles was third among all quarterbacks last season in terms of number of garbage-time snaps taken. As a result. Bortles ended up throwing a league-leading 14 touchdowns in the fourth quarter.

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Tyler Loechner is a lead writer at PFF Fantasy. He has played fantasy football since 1999 and has been a part of the PFF Fantasy staff since 2010. Tyler was also previously a fantasy football featured columnist at Bleacher Report.

  • Kyle Paben

    where’s the rest of it?

    • Tyler Loechner

      Make sure you’re logged in and have a PFF Fantasy subscription to read it all!

  • M8P

    I think that you are wrong on Latavius Murray. With the improvements they made on the OL, if he keeps near the same volume as last year he could be a top 5 RB. Think Demaraco Murray with Dallas – a mediocre RB behind a fantastic OL.

    Granted, that’s an “if” but everyone is pretty much banking on him losing his job – to a 5th round draft choice. I don’t deny there is some possible downside, but the upside is worth it – especially when you can get Washington way late in the draft as insurance.

    • Tyler Loechner

      The fact Washington is so cheap makes it easier to take Murray and cuff him with Washington. Plus, Murray is in a good position. But Oakland has expressed frustration with him, and it’s undeniable that he wasn’t as good last season as he could have been. He’s on a shorter leash. I still think Murray is an RB2, but he’s not as safe as some of the other RB2s.

      • phil

        Think that I might try and grab Washington real late in the draft and sit on him. If Oakland gets tired of Murray’s shit and starts to share the reps, Washington could be a major sleeper that could help win a championship.

        • Tyler Loechner

          Washington is looking like a great late-round pick.

  • Blair Hay

    Noted your points on Marshall. But his durability compared to the younger recievers in Alshon and Keenan Allen has to count for a lot

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