Fantasy Power Rankings No. 27 — Tampa Bay

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a few viable fantasy players, but a lack of depth causes the team to check in at No. 27 on Tyler Loechner's fantasy power rankings.

| 3 years ago
doug martin

Fantasy Power Rankings No. 27 — Tampa Bay

doug martinThe Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a few viable fantasy players, but a lack of depth causes the team to check in at No. 27 on the 2014 fantasy power rankings.

The Buccaneers offer 70.1 percent of the fantasy firepower compared to the average NFL team and are 39.7 percent as valuable to fantasy owners as the NFL’s best team.

Doug Martin exploded onto the fantasy scene in 2012 and was one of the first players drafted one year ago, but a shoulder injury cut his season short. However, before the injury Martin was not as explosive of a fantasy player as he had been the previous year.

In six games, he scored just one touchdown on 127 carries — a touchdown per carry rate below 1 percent. In 2012, he scored 11 touchdowns on 319 carries — a touchdown per carry rate well over 3 percent. Martin was the 17th highest-scoring running back based on PPG from Weeks 1-7 last season, and that’s about where he’s expected to finish in 2014.

Even though Martin should be one of the 20 best running backs in fantasy football this season, the Buccaneers offer the 23rd most valuable backfield to fantasy owners because they have no fantasy-relevant backups.

The team offers fantasy players the most at the wide receiver position, thanks to the presence of Vincent Jackson and first round pick Mike Evans. Tampa Bay has the 17th most valuable wide receiving group from a fantasy perspective.

Jackson saw 156 targets last season, tied for the sixth most among all wide receivers. However, he trailed off in the second half of the season. From Weeks 1-8, Jackson led the league with 88 targets in seven games. From Weeks 9-17, Jackson played nine games but had 20 fewer targets (68). Jackson may not see the same target volume he saw during the first half of 2013, but he is still projected to be one of the 15 most targeted receivers in the league in 2014.

Evans provides Tampa Bay’s quarterback — whomever that may be, Josh McCown or Mike Glennon — with another big body to target. With Mike Williams no longer on the team, Evans will step into the No. 2 role and many anticipate him to thrive next to Jackson. And, considering his size (6’5”), it’s possible he will become a favorite redzone target.

Both Jackson and Evans would be more valuable if Tampa Bay had a better quarterback situation. Glennon showed promise last season but never threw for over two touchdowns or 300 yards in a single game. And it’s not like he wasn’t given ample opportunity — Glennon threw the ball 40-plus times in five games last season, more than Philip Rivers.

Josh McCown, the expected starter, was excellent in eight games for the Chicago Bears last season, tossing 13 touchdowns compared to just one interception. However, he was throwing to an elite cast of receivers led  by Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery, arguably the best tandem in the league. He won’t find success as easily in Tampa Bay.

Despite ranking 27th overall, the Buccaneers do offer fantasy football owners some value. But a lack of depth at running back and little to no value at the quarterback and tight end positions hurts the team’s overall offering.

Tyler Loechner is a lead writer at PFF Fantasy. He has played fantasy football since 1999 and has been a part of the PFF Fantasy staff since 2010. Tyler was also previously a fantasy football featured columnist at Bleacher Report.

  • Robin

    No depth at RB? Isn’t the scare about Martin that when he went down with his injury, the backups performed better than he had – Resulting in risk for a comittee?

  • W Van Landingham III

    The biggest problem I have with your sites analysis of the Tampa Bay offense, is that it’s wrong. This is not going to be a heavy run offense, it’s going to be more dynamic and more like a college offense, at least according to the little that the team has talked about in the local media. Lovie is well aware of how his offenses were never productive in Chicago and he said in his time off he studied the league and saw what the trends were and what was working – and he said that was the new college type of offenses.

    Not sure how that impacts your ratings, but the Bucs have shown almost nothing of the offense in the preseason – again according to the local media – but this should be a faster paced and more pass heavy offense than anyone on the national scene is giving them credit for.

    At least I hope what they’re saying is true and we’re not back to the 1980s offense we’ve been running since… the 1980s.