Fantasy football trade value chart: Week 1

Christine Michael and Jamaal Charles were among the biggest value movers late in the preseason. Tyler Loechner has a look at the values.

| 10 months ago
(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

Fantasy football trade value chart: Week 1

The 2016 NFL season hasn’t even started yet — although it’s nearly here! — but us fantasy footballers are already making trades to better our teams. So it’s time to update the fantasy football trade value chart to help you strike a deal.

Granted, since no games have been played yet, player values haven’t changed much in the past week. There has been some activity, however, so we’ll run through the most notable changes.

The trade value chart relies on our Rest-of-Season projections. The dollar amounts assume a 12-team league and a starting lineup of 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, and 1 Flex. The players are displayed in order of their standard league values, but we’ve included the PPR values for those players as well.

No player saw his value rise week-over-week more than Seattle running back Christine Michael. Not only did he look great in the preseason, but he appears to be in line for a healthy amount of touches to start the season, as Thomas Rawls works back to full health.

The best part is that you might not even have to try to trade for Michael, since there’s a 50-50 chance he’s just sitting on your waiver wire. Alternatively, now might be the time to sell high on Thomas Rawls — if you still can. His value dropped (by far) the most week-over-week.

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Tyler Loechner is a lead writer at PFF Fantasy. He has played fantasy football since 1999 and has been a part of the PFF Fantasy staff since 2010. Tyler was also previously a fantasy football featured columnist at Bleacher Report.

  • geo2209

    How is Treadwell higher in PPR than current bonified starters you can flex like Fuller, Dwayne Allen, and Wheaton? Are you predicting he’ll be a starter eventually and hit big later in the season? Also, why is Dion Lewis on this list when he probably won’t be back until week 10 (9 is their bye week)? Nobody is going to burn a bench spot this early for a guy who may or may not come back to play the last 7 games, especially before knowing how White will perform. Maybe in 14 or 16 team leagues… but taking a bench hit for over half the season could mean it won’t even matter by week 10 (due to having so many losses from playing with one arm behind your back). I’d rather use that spot on a flyer that will hit sooner than past the season’s halfway mark. If White gets hurt or sucks it up, then I can see Lewis holding value but not seeing it right now.

    • Tyler Loechner

      Hey geo2209 – thanks for reading!

      Wheaton, Fuller and Allen are not bonafide flex options. Treadwell is at their level both in rankings and rest-of-season projections. Perhaps you’re just undervaluing him?

      Lewis is a tricky one. We have him projected to play eight games at RB2-level. That, combined with the points you would collect with a replacement-level projection while Lewis sits, equates to a marginally valuable player.

      Owning Lewis is NOT required. Like you pointed out, it absolutely depends on your league size, bench size, and roster settings. If you have an IR spot, he’s definitely worth stashing. If you have deep benches, he’s worth stashing. If you are in a 10-team league without deep benches – he’s probably not worth stashing, etc.

      • geo2209

        Sure thing, I like your chart but just wondering about that. To specify more RE: Treadwell (because looks like we agree on Lewis), I was thinking PPR flex specifically. Since Treadwell is currently a backup on the depth chart to Charles Johnson, I think Wheaton/Fuller/D.Allen are better flex options for many reasons. Wheaton – the #2 to Antonio Brown with no Leveon for weeks 1-3 and his main competition is a rookie. D.Allen – Luck’s featured TE with no competition in a potent offense that will have to pass with Mewfort out (and who knows when he’ll be back), essentially neutering the rushing attack to last year’s mediocrity. Fuller, an emerging #2 to Hopkins who will draw a ton of attention as a top 5 wideout. Also against Treadwell besides backup status is the fact that he’s a rookie on a top 3 rushing team with a QB in Bradford who doesn’t even know the playbook yet and knows nothing about his WR’s tendencies that can only be built with repeated reps. He’s basically going to be handing off to AP for most of the first half and/or checking it down to the TE like he did in Philly. As a result, I’m a little confused as to why you are so high on Treadwell. I know he’s athletic, but he doesn’t have much else going for him with respect to volume (backup who will be playing with a backup QB on a team that runs most of the time) which is the crux of PPR. Whereas I think Wheaton/D.Allen/Fuller will get Flex volume, it’s just a matter of what they do with the opportunity.

        • Tyler Loechner

          You make great points about all of the players, but I guess I should be careful to note that I’m not “high” on Treadwell — he’s still in the 125ish overall range on this chart, and in the 50s among wide receivers.

          Stefon Diggs’ role in MIN seems secure, but it seems plausible that Treadwell will take the No. 2 job away from Charles Johnson sooner rather than rather. Johnson just isn’t that good. Will be very telling in Week 1 when we see how much Treadwell plays.

          Wheaton will presumably see Flex volume early in the season while Bell is out, but Wheaton has done nothing but disappoint so far in his career. I don’t think a 3-week window of opportunity is going to change that.

          Fuller projects more of a deep threat, although he can certainly develop into a more well-rounded player, so his volume won’t necessarily be that high either. Plus, like Wheaton, Fuller is on a team that already has two studs who will eat up a lot of the opportunities (Hopkins and Miller).

          Allen is a tight end who will see less volume than these wideouts, and his targets will be shorter (fewer yards gained). He’s also in a more crowded offense than any of these players. His touchdown potential is certainly appealing.

  • Birvin7358

    Do I have to add the delta numbers to the values to get the new value or is the delta already baked in? For example, is McCcoy’s PPR value now 30.3 and you are just showing me it went down 1.6 from last update or do I need to subtract the 1.6 from 30.3 to have a value of 28.7 ?

    • Tyler Loechner

      Good question — it’s baked in. The chart is just showing you it’s down 1.6 from the last update. None of the values changed dramatically in this update, since the only thing that happened between updates was preseason Week 4.