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The biggest dynasty value changes before the draft

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - MARCH 03: Running back Christian McCaffrey of Stanford runs with the ball during a drill on day three of the NFL Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium on March 3, 2017 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)

As I’ve written about many times before here at PFF, I find it a useful exercise to create and remember specific iterations of rookie rankings for dynasty leagues: pre-combine/pro days, post-combine/pro days, and post-NFL draft. While rookie rankings should be fluid as more and more information comes to light, taking note of your (and the fantasy community’s) evolving opinion of a player throughout the process can help you to recognize potential inefficiencies in ADP when it comes time for real rookie drafts.

With that in mind, I took a look at the current top 25 rookies in terms of ADP on Dynasty League Football, and compared their April ADPs to their February ones to see what players have gained and lost the most perceived value during the t-shirt-and-shorts portion of the evaluation process. Below is a chart of those 25 players, sorted based on their two-month change in ADP (risers at the top, fallers at the bottom).

Player April February Change
Chris Godwin 116.5 181.8 65.3
Jeremy McNichols 149.5 177.7 28.2
Christian McCaffrey 36.3 64.3 28.0
Bucky Hodges 179.0 206.8 27.8
Evan Engram 100.2 127.0 26.8
D'Onta Foreman 92.8 108.3 15.5
Joe Mixon 46.3 60.0 13.7
Alvin Kamara 92.0 104.5 12.5
O.J. Howard 83.7 95.2 11.5
James Conner 181.8 190.7 8.8
David Njoku 111.7 116.7 5.0
Curtis Samuel 126.5 131.0 4.5
Taywan Taylor 180.2 184.3 4.2
Corey Davis 27.8 30.0 2.2
Leonard Fournette 24.2 25.3 1.2
Cooper Kupp 155.8 154.7 -1.2
Carlos Henderson 124.5 121.0 -3.5
Zay Jones 136.5 133.0 -3.5
John Ross 76.0 70.0 -6.0
Mike Williams 43.3 36.3 -7.0
Dalvin Cook 31.7 20.7 -11.0
JuJu Smith-Schuster 73.7 62.3 -11.3
Samaje Perine 106.2 94.7 -11.5
Kareem Hunt 142.2 122.0 -20.2
Jamaal Williams 170.8 146.7 -24.2
KD Cannon 148.7 116.0 -32.7

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