Picking up the pace: Several efficient offenses, plus Houston

Pat Thorman looks at the Divisional Round of games to find out where the most action might be.

| 5 months ago
(Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)

(Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)

Picking up the pace: Several efficient offenses, plus Houston

Welcome to the Divisional Round edition of Snaps, Pace & Stats, where we examine trends in snap totals and no-huddle usage. It is meant as a 30,000-foot view of upcoming games, with the goal of identifying which matchups will — and which will not — be played on fertile fantasy soil.

With the exception of the Texans, each remaining offense is capable of lighting up the scoreboard whether or not they enjoy high snap volume. Six of the eight teams rank in the top-10 for points-per-snap over their last four games, with Dallas falling short only because they rested players in Week 17 — they ended the season fifth overall. As usual, the Divisional Round shapes up as the best slate of games on the NFL calendar.

2016 Snaps Per Game NFL Rank Last Four Games NFL Rank
Houston Texans (66.9) 5th Houston Texans (69.5) 4th
New England Patriots (66.0) 7th Seattle Seahawks (68.0) 6th
Green Bay Packers (64.3) 13th New England Patriots (67.8) 7th
Pittsburgh Steelers (64.1) 14th Green Bay Packers (64.3) 11th
Seattle Seahawks (63.3) 19th Kansas City Chiefs (61.3) 21st
Dallas Cowboys (63.1) 20th Pittsburgh Steelers (61.0) 22nd
Atlanta Falcons (62.2) 26th Atlanta Falcons (60.8) 24th
Kansas City Chiefs (61.9) 27th Dallas Cowboys (60.3) 27th


Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons

Both teams’ plays-per-game rate ranked in the bottom half of the league, with the Falcons running the seventh-fewest (62.2). Even if the matchup features low play volume — and there’s reason to believe there is upside in this area — it doesn’t mean the contest will be low-scoring. The Falcons allow the seventh-most plays per game (66.2) and the 11th-most points-per-snap (0.38). While their 17th-graded defense is giving up a respectable average of 20.5 points since their Week 11 bye, versus 28.3 before then, the post-bye rate is weighted by allowing 14.3 points per game to offenses graded 18th (Panthers), 31st (Rams), and 32nd (49ers).

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Pat Thorman is a lead writer for PFF Fantasy and a Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner.

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