Fantasy investments: Keep an eye on Mark Ingram, Thomas Rawls

The two running backs are currently strong investments, says Scott Barrett.

| 3 months ago
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)

(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)

Fantasy investments: Keep an eye on Mark Ingram, Thomas Rawls


Sometimes I like to imagine myself as an investment analyst for a top hedge fund dealing only in fantasy football players. C.J. Anderson is currently a screaming buy. We’re shorting Austin Seferian-Jenkins. Nelson Agholor is a hold. Like investment analysts, I spend a lot of time looking over my numbers and projections attempting to identify undervalued assets. I’ve written several articles on guys I think are strong buys, but two running backs I have not yet touched on are New Orleans’ Mark Ingram and Seattle’s Thomas Rawls. That ends now.

Mark Ingram, New Orleans Saints

Last season, the thinking was C.J. Spiller would take the Darren Sproles role while Ingram would manage the majority of the carries and goal-line work. However, that didn’t really happen, with the Saints riding Ingram as a workhorse and making him of the top fantasy producers in the game, prior to his injury.

Last season, from Weeks 1 to 13 (he missed the remainder of the season with a torn rotator cuff) he ranked fourth at the position in snaps, 14th in rushing attempts, fourth in receptions and targets, fifth in rushing touchdowns, and third in PPR fantasy points. Not only was he one of the top fantasy scorers at his position, but he was also one of the most consistent. Despite playing in only 12 games last year, Ingram had the second-most top-12 weeks (eight) and the third-most top-24 weeks (11). In only one game did he fail to finish among the top 24 at the position.

To read the entire article, please login or sign up for a PFF Fantasy Subscription

Not a PFF fantasy subscriber? Compare all of our packages and features here.

  • MCHAWKING

    Playing in a standard keeper league, and I suspect my first round pick will be between Ingram, McCoy, and Charles. I was gung-ho on Ingram, but with Karlos Williams being dropped from the Bills, now I’m leaning McCoy. Which of these 3 would you recommend?

    • KP

      Great question! I actually have both McCoy and Ingram, but I’d like to know what the Williams drop does for McCoy’s value and whether or not he’s shooting up draft boards.

      • Scott Barrett

        I bumped McCoy up after the Karlos news, but not above Jamaal.

        • phil

          I’m not trying to shit on you I’m just really curious to why you’re so high on him? Charles will be 30 coming off an ACL tear but you think hes gonna be a top fantasy RB? Again, I’m not trying to be rude I just want to know if you know something that I don’t and I can use for my fantasy season is all.

          • Scott Barrett

            Haha, no worries.

            He’s an elite running back. Arguably one of the all-time greats. He ranks first in all-time career yards per carry.

            Andy Reid has historically never used a RBBC. Rather, from my most recent study, no other HC/OC (maybe Trestman excluding last year) has had a more positive impact on their team’s leading rusher.

            Since 2007, Andy Reid’s RB1 has averaged 15.6 carries, 5.0 targets, 105.1 all purpose yards, 0.84 TDs, and 19.7 fantasy points per game. Since 2007, Andy Reid’s RB1 (in games they played) has averaged 78% of the team’s RB snaps, 77% of the carries, and 81% of the targets.

            Age/injury are always a concern. Might just come down to preference on risk-tolerance, but I’ll gladly buy in the late 2nd.

    • Scott Barrett

      Give me Jamaal. I’ll probably have an article coming out on him soon. I have them all right next to each other in my rankings, though.

      • MCHAWKING

        Cool, thanks very much. I was also a big fan of watching Rawls last season and would have liked to draft him, sans this RBBC talk. My league mates are very conservative and I could see Rawls dropping below his ADP because of the injury and the alleged RBBC. How far below his ADP do you think a talent like Rawls would be a steal, even with the risk of not starting / timeshare baked in?

        • Scott Barrett

          All it would take for me is about a round. Especially in a standard or half-PPR league.

  • Shiraz

    Is Rawl’s a better option than Carlos Hyde and CJ Anderson? Since all three are very close in ADP