5 teams that should put up more fantasy production in 2017

Daniel Kelley identifies the teams that lost the most fantasy production in 2016 to figure out which teams should improve this year.

| 6 days ago
(Bob Levey/Getty Images)

(Bob Levey/Getty Images)

5 teams that should put up more fantasy production in 2017

A week ago in this space, I looked at the five teams who had the biggest jump in year-over-year fantasy production from 2015 to 2016, looking for which offenses might be less productive in 2017. The obvious next step, then, is the corollary — which teams fell off by the most last year? Which teams might have more to offer in 2017 than in 2016?

(As a reminder, we’re only looking at offensive fantasy production, so all references to teamwide fantasy points mean only quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end — no kicker or defense.)

The numbers

I’ll rerun the chart from last week — teams since 2006, sorted by their percent change in team fantasy scoring from Year 1 to Year 2, along with the change they went on to make in Year 3.

Change in team fantasy scoring
# of teams Third year Third year % change
Increase by 40+% 5 -46.8 -4.00%
Increase by 30-39.99% 19 -121.6 -11.18%
Increase by 20-29.99% 24 -86.2 -8.02%
Increase by 10-19.99% 34 -42.9 -4.01%
Increase by less than 10% 71 -0.9 -0.08%
Decrease by less than 10% 74 24.6 +2.52%
Decrease by 10-19.99% 41 98.5 +10.51%
Decrease by 20-29.99% 11 149.6 +17.71%
Decrease by 30+% 7 204.9 +28.00%

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| Fantasy Editor

Daniel Kelley is the fantasy editor for Pro Football Focus. He has previously appeared at SB Nation.

  • Todd

    Both CAR and JAX are expected to increase their win total by 3. Do you think these two teams are the standouts?