Five wide receivers going too high in fantasy drafts

PFF Fantasy writer Pat Thorman takes note of some receivers who sit too high both in our Fantasy 101 and in early drafts.

| 1 year ago
(Harry How/Getty Images)

(Harry How/Getty Images)

Five wide receivers going too high in fantasy drafts

With the staff releasing our consensus Top 101 players of the fantasy season, it seems like a good time to examine five receivers who are currently overvalued. Opportunity cost is an often overlooked factor, and especially with the first few wideouts listed below, it plays a large role in earning them a place on this list. (This is inspired by Kelvin Benjamin in today’s 101 update; he’s our No. 41 player off the board, No. 22 wide receiver, yet I was the lowest on him, at 72.)

As always, almost every player has a cost at which they should be acquired, and a couple of these receivers are not miles away from it. However, if the prices do not come down, fantasy investors could be quite disappointed with their returns on these five pass catchers.

Demaryius Thomas, Denver Broncos

Thomas has been mentioned more often as undervalued this offseason, which makes sense when someone of his reputation is being drafted roughly a round later than last year. The ADP drop occurred despite Thomas finishing 2015 as the ninth-highest-scoring wideout in PPR leagues and 13th in standard formats. He is currently the 15th receiver selected, usually around the second- and third-round turn, and he is the 16th receiver in our Fantasy 101.

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Pat Thorman is a lead writer for PFF Fantasy and a Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner.

  • Chad

    If Edelman wasn’t such a injury risk he would be going significantly higher which means his injury history is baked into his current ADP. Fact is he is a WR1 when playing and if he is playing 3/4 of the season I will happily pay the WR20 cost to get him. Gamble is if he plays 1/4 the season it will be a bad investment. But honestly that’s a concern with every single player drafted.

    • Pat

      He’s actually going a couple spots earlier this year than last year when he didn’t have the same injury risk baked in. He’s never been a WR1 in PPR, even when he played 16 games. And it’s not just injury. The unknown of Garoppolo plays a big role. Taking him in the third now on incomplete information, and feeling obligated to start him with a backup QB once the season starts, is a definite risk.