All News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

Fade the DFS crowd with Nelson Agholor in Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles' Nelson Agholor before a preseason NFL football game against the Green Bay Packers Saturday, Aug. 29, 2015, in Green Bay, Wis. (AP Photo/Matt Ludtke)

“The fact that an opinion has been widely held is no evidence whatever that it is not utterly absurd; indeed in view of the silliness of the majority of mankind, a widely spread belief is more likely to be foolish than sensible.”   – Bertrand Russell

Week 1 was a short reminder in the importance of including contrarian plays (players rostered in less than five percent of DFS lineups) in all of your GPP lineups. Typically, only one to three contrarian plays per lineup is considered necessary. However, last week, FanDuel's million dollar winner started a lineup with just two players owned in over five percent of leagues.

On DraftKings, the $2 million dollar winner only had one player under five percent owned, Tyler Eifert. Eifert was a guy (alongside Jordan Reed) I mentioned in last week’s column as an attractive value play, but whiffed on assuming he would have a higher ownership percentage.

The team finishing in second place, who only brought home $1 million (wow that felt weird to write), had six out of nine positions where they went contrarian. One of these contrarian plays was Benny Cunningham, who we featured in last week’s article.

The players with the highest ownership percentage this week are projected (based on FanDuel’s Thursday slate) to be Drew Brees, Sam Bradford, Carlos Hyde, Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, Tyler Eifert, and Rob Gronkowski. This week, we’ll be devaluing these players and instead plugging in some of the guys listed below.

DOMINATE FANTASY FOOTBALL & BETTING WITH AI-POWERED DATA & TOOLS TRUSTED BY ALL 32

Unlimited Fantasy League Sync
Fantasy Start/Sit Line-Up Optimizer & Waiver Wire
WR-CB & OL-DL Matchups, PFF Player Grades, & Premium Stats 2.0 Tools
Nathan Jahnkes Rankings - #1 Most Accurate Last 70 Weeks
PFF Best Bets, Player Props, & Power Ranking Tools
NFL Mock Draft Sim with Trades & Draft Grades

Already have a subscription? Log In

All Featured Tools

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2023 Fantasy Draft Kit, with League Sync, Live Draft Assistant, PFF Grades & Data Platform that powers all 32 Pro Teams

$31 Draft Kit Fee + $8.99/mo
OR
$89.88/yr + FREE Draft Kit