Don’t draft these 10 players in fantasy

Jeff Ratcliffe breaks down 10 players whose perceived fantasy value doesn't match what we expect from them in 2015.

| 2 years ago
(AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)

(AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)

Don’t draft these 10 players in fantasy

With fantasy football season about to be in full swing, it’s a good time to take stock of the fantasy landscape. After a quick look at the most recent ADP data, a number of players stand out as overvalued. Likewise, there are other players who have declining fantasy value as a result of situation, and still others who offer extremely limited fantasy ceilings.

Here are the 10 players you shouldn’t draft this year with suggested alternative picks at their respective ADPs:

1. Charles Johnson, WR Vikings

One of the most hyped players this past offseason, Johnson enters 2015 in a good position to produce as the X-receiver in Norv Turner’s offense with an ascending Teddy Bridgewater at the helm. But many are ignoring one very important question – can Johnson actually produce viable fantasy numbers to justify his late-7th round ADP?

We need to look no further than last season for a good indication of what to expect. While a lot of people are excited over Johnson’s performance, I’m just not seeing it. He only saw double-digit targets once last season, and really only had one big game where he went for 103 yards and a score against the Jets in Week 14. That performance ranked him tied for 11th in standard and tied for 15th in PPR scoring for the week. So at best he put up borderline WR1 numbers, but otherwise he was a pedestrian fantasy option.

Instead draft: Vincent Jackson (ADP 7.02), John Brown (ADP 8.01), Steve Smith (ADP 8.03), Brandon LaFell (ADP 9.04)

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Jeff Ratcliffe is the Assistant Managing Editor and resident IDP maven and DFS junkie of PFF Fantasy.  

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| Director of Fantasy

Jeff Ratcliffe is the Director of Fantasy at Pro Football Focus. He produces all of our projections and is 2016's second-most-accurate ranker in the fantasy industry. Jeff also is the host of our show on SiriusXM fantasy sports radio and is one of the main hosts of our Fantasy Slant podcast.

  • DEV00100000

    Maybe it’s just me… but I feel like suggesting players with higher ADP’s than the one you are telling us to avoid is just common sense to begin with.

    • David Stinnett

      I agree, those guys are no brainers, how about someone at his ADP ?

    • Jeff Ratcliffe

      Since ADP is an average, I put preferred players going in the same area in drafts. You’re obviously not going to get all of the because each draft is different.

  • cgimino

    with #10 … i think its wise to add that Landry has a high floor. If hes your #4 in zero RB, than ill take his weekly floor vs. Watkins (Tyrod Taylor) Maclin (Alex Smith) and Marshall (Fitz/Geno). I wouldnt list him on a do not draft list because he will increase that aDot and get additional RZ targets (so thats where we disagree most… He should be involved in RZ IMO) . Week1 preseason he was featured on a play designed for him at the pylon (anecdotal but FWIW it shows they have designed plays for him)

  • Alex

    I’m confused, I see Cam Newton on this ‘do not draft’ list, but your colleague Matt Freedman mentioned him as a guy that could be one of five players that help you win your league… Which is it?