Current ADP Value – Quarterbacks

Josh Collacchi takes a look at the current ADP of quarterbacks, and what each player's value is.

| 2 years ago

Current ADP Value – Quarterbacks


What is the first thing that comes to your mind when you think of fantasy football?

Chances are it has something to do with value and draft strategy. Luckily, this piece contains each of the two aforementioned topics. Despite it being the end of June, fantasy football preparation is well underway, and the best players start now, with hopes to be the most prepared for August.

As we all know, PFF Fantasy’s own Mike Clay publishes some of the best rankings on the Internet. Take a look, as he has been among the industry’s most accurate in the last few years.

These are PFF Fantasy’s official projections that are updated almost every day, so be sure to bookmark it and keep it handy for your drafts in the coming months.

In addition to these projections, it’s a good idea to look at ADPs (average draft positions) for each position, and for the draft board as a whole. Ignoring ADPs will lead to a lot of reaches, or missing out on a few steals.

The following chart is a tool that shows current projections and current ADPs. What can you do with them? Value. This shows our projections, the current ADP for each player, and a number representing each player’s value at those projections with current ADP. For those players who lack ADP data, an ADP of 165 will be used.

There are two sets of values, one is for players who have more than the average fantasy points, the other is for those with less than average. The higher the number, the more value that player holds.

Player Team Yards Touchdowns Rushing Yards Touchdowns Fantasy Points ADP (FFC) Fantasy Points Above Average Value
Tier 1
Peyton Manning DEN 5395 41 -15 1 424 11.6 109.75 127.3
Drew Brees NO 5217 38 48 1 403 23.2 88.75 205.9
Aaron Rodgers GB 4522 31 262 2 373 21.5 58.75 126.3
Matthew Stafford DET 4907 32 83 1 362 45 47.75 214.9
Nick Foles PHI 3883 32 240 5 359 65 44.75 290.9
Tom Brady NE 4663 30 28 2 356 74 41.75 309.0
Tony Romo DAL 4846 29 41 1 351 92.9 36.75 341.4
Matt Ryan ATL 4767 30 77 1 349 78.8 34.75 273.8
Andrew Luck IND 4206 27 347 2 345 52.7 30.75 162.1
Robert Griffin III WAS 3934 23 597 2 344 68.8 29.75 204.7
Philip Rivers SD 4204 30 68 1 323 107 8.75 93.6
Jay Cutler CHI 4010 29 201 1 319 106.7 4.75 50.7
Cam Newton CAR 3440 21 605 4 318 82.4 3.75 30.9
Colin Kaepernick SF 3286 23 674 2 317 87.8 2.75 24.1
Tier 2
Alex D. Smith KC 3911 22 351 1 311 165.7 26.95 446.6
Andy Dalton CIN 3901 27 167 2 308 129 23.95 309.0
Johnny Manziel CLV 3382 21 526 3 296 138.4 11.95 165.4
Ben Roethlisberger PIT 4040 24 103 295 126.8 10.95 138.8
Russell Wilson SEA 3020 25 454 1 290 117.3 5.95 69.8
Ryan Tannehill MIA 3728 21 246 2 289 157.9 4.95 78.2
Jake Locker TEN 3753 22 289 1 288 165 3.95 65.2
Teddy Bridgewater MIN 3864 22 204 2 287 165 2.95 48.7
Jacksonville (Henne and Bortles) JAX 3980 17 144 1 287 165 2.95 48.7
Joe Flacco BLT 3905 23 108 1 286 165 1.95 32.2
Tier 3
E.J. Manuel BUF 3618 18 254 3 281 165 9 148.5
Eli Manning NYG 4183 23 43 1 281 151.8 9 136.6
Carson Palmer ARZ 4104 22 44 1 279 154.7 7 108.3
Tampa Bay (McCown and Glennon) TB 3881 21 97 277 140.7 5 70.4
Geno Smith NYJ 3340 17 368 4 274 165 2 33.0
Sam Bradford SL 3853 20 91 1 272 165 0.0

As you can see, there are three tiers of quarterbacks. Each tier is represented by an average of the tier below them. For example, the first tier’s average is 314.25, which is why Alex Smith is in the second tier, because his total points are below that average. This shows what each player’s value was compared to the rest of the players in his respective tier.

The value shows what the player’s value is corresponding to his current ADP. Alex Smith has the highest value based on ADP since he has the highest amount of fantasy points in tier two, but is not far off of tier one. But, his ADP is among those in tier two, so keep an eye on Smith for your late round quarterback needs.

Among the top-tier quarterbacks, Tony Romo has the highest value, as he is projected to finish as QB7, but his ADP is currently 92.9, or anywhere from the 7th to the 9th round, depending on the size of your draft. Keep in mind, players like Jay Cutler and Philip Rivers are listed at the low end of tier one, but their ADPs are currently in tier two, so despite a low value rating, they are still projected to be good values.

Use this chart for your fantasy leagues drafting soon, because as we all know, value drafting is among the most common strategies, and what better to show value than a value chart?



In addition to PFF, Josh writes for eDraft and ProFootballCentral. With any comments or questions, each him on Twitter @PFF_JCollacchi !

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