Sig Stats Snapshot: Dropped Passes per QB

| November 21, 2012

Sophomore Struggles

Adapting to life in the NFL is never easy, and you can use as much help as you get. Well, a couple of sophomore quarterbacks really aren’t getting that. Nobody has had a higher percentage of their attempted passes dropped than Jake Locker, with a massive 11% of his attempts being catchable, yet not caught.

After him it’s Blaine Gabbert and we’ve managed to find one statistic that does support him. His 9.7% of attempted passes dropped is the second-highest of any quarterback and he finds himself in good company with Aaron Rodgers in third.

Meanwhile, Joe Flacco doesn’t have many excuses with a league-low 3.8% of attempted passes dropped. Those are elite numbers for sure, it’s just a shame he’s not matching them with his own performance. His number is matched by Philip Rivers, whose slide from elite quarterback to mediocrity is continuing, despite his receivers catching what balls are catchable.

Here’s the list:

#NameTeamAtt.DropsDrop %
1 Jake LockerTEN1271411
2 Blaine GabbertJAX278279.7
3 Aaron RodgersGB354318.8
4 Robert Griffin IIIWAS277248.7
5 Brandon WeedenCLV371328.6
6 Matt CasselKC277238.3
7 Peyton ManningDEN372297.8
7 Ryan TannehillMIA308247.8
7 Jay CutlerCHI255207.8
10 Matthew StaffordDET427337.7
11 Drew BreesNO401307.5
12 Tom BradyNE393297.4
13 Andrew LuckIND412307.3
14 Mark SanchezNYJ314227
15 Russell WilsonSEA253176.7
15 John SkeltonARZ179126.7
17 Carson PalmerOAK415276.5
18 Eli ManningNYG364236.3
18 Matt HasselbeckTEN221146.3
20 Matt SchaubHST330206.1
21 Sam BradfordSL333195.7
22 Ryan FitzpatrickBUF323185.6
23 Matt RyanATL397225.5
23 Alex D. SmithSF217125.5
23 Kevin KolbARZ183105.5
26 Tony RomoDAL394205.1
26 Ben RoethlisbergerPIT316165.1
26 Christian PonderMIN316165.1
26 Michael VickPHI316165.1
30 Josh FreemanTB320165
30 Cam NewtonCAR300155
32 Andy DaltonCIN344154.4
33 Philip RiversSD340133.8
33 Joe FlaccoBLT341133.8

What does it mean? (Page 3)

Pages: 1 2 3

Comments (17)

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  1. dave says:

    Everyone is calling for Colin Kaepernick but….oh my

  2. just curious says:

    My apologies if this is already covered in Premium stats (haven’t fit it into my budget yet; I’m a college student, have pity) but I’m curious about the average depth of the drops on these quarterbacks. Obviously we’re starting to narrow the data pool to the point where it isn’t completely statistically reliable if you break drops down further, but there is also a definite difference in the impact of say 4 balls dropped on drag patterns only a few yards deep and 4 balls dropped when the receiver has already managed to get behind the defense

    • Ben says:

      Yes! I was thinking of the same thing. I’m a premium subscriber and I can say this would be an excellent addition to the signature stats package.

      My 2 cents worth: find out if the drop percentages change with the depth of passes. If they do, adjust the QBs’ adjusted completion pct. according to the depth of their passes, either by their average depth (easier) or the expected comp. pct. for each of their individual passes (harder but more comprehensive).

  3. Sick says:

    Oh great, here we go. More flacco bashing

  4. Taylor says:

    I think a more accurate way to display the effect of dropped passes would be to show the percentage of dropped passes per pass attempt. Obviously a team in the top 10 pass attempts are also going to be in the top 10 of drops.

  5. Hippiekilla says:

    You would think that someone who takes the time and effort to post a comment about a story would at least read the entire article.

  6. Dropped passes on third down are more important. Kills a rhythm and causes field goals and prevents a QB more reps.

    • Ben says:

      But they’re way too random. Unless somebody can prove that there are receivers that consistently drop passes on 3rd down but not on 1st & 2nd.

  7. Guest says:

    Would it be possible to also factor in potential interceptions that were dropped by the defender too?

  8. AKTurbo says:

    Dropped passes are one thing, I would like to see statistics changed to show turnovers- specifically interceptions- charged to the receiver or back who’s hands the ball just deflected out of… Tired of seeing QB’s charged with an interception when the throw is clearly altered in some way by the targeted player… This would be a valuable statistic not only here in the dropped passes report but for overall QB numbers as well…

  9. Michael W George says:

    I would like to see the number of dropped passes by DOWN. Which team has the most dropped passes on 3rd down, for instance, which in effect stops most drives dead in their tracks.